NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	98		Excitement	4.0 [985]		MVP	Metta World Peace (IND): +10.6%
Indiana Pacers	107		Comeback	1.7 [844]		LVP	Gary Payton (MIL): -11.0%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Redd	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	11	58%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Desmond Mason	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.04	17	60%	0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	14	61%	0.02	4	-0.04	10	90%	0.02
Ervin Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	10	35%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	0.03	15	50%	-0.05	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.03	-0.02	10	71%	0.13	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.15	-0.01	0.06	14	74%	0.08	0	0.00	11	100%	0.02
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.00	-0.03	3	100%	0.08	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.11	-0.01	0.06	9	80%	0.05	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	14	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.10	0.01	-0.06	4	50%	0.02	5	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	16	38%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.6	24.2	16.7	21.0	1.8	33.2	125.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +42.5%

MIL -1.0%

MIL -1.7%

IND +5.2%

IND +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	IND	NBA	MIL	IND	NBA
this game	16.2	17.5	15.5	115.3	124.4	101.6
season	15.4	15.4		106.3	102.2
opponent	15.5	15.8		99.2	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	17.0	17.8	17.5	12.7	16.2
IND	17.3	18.2	15.3	19.1	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ervin Johnson	45	45	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.23	4	-13	17	15.6	16.9	-1.30	19.3	15.5	3.73
Michael Redd	44	44	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.20	-1	-8	7	14.3	18.2	-3.97	18.7	16.2	2.44
Tim Thomas	48	50	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.17	-2	-7	5	15.6	16.9	-1.34	18.0	16.8	1.13
Desmond Mason	59	61	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-5	1	16.5	15.4	1.10	16.5	19.8	-3.32
Toni Kukoc	44	45	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.23	-2	-7	5	16.2	16.2	0.03	18.9	16.0	2.94
Sam Cassell	72	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.14	-9	0	-9	16.7	13.6	3.04	16.2	24.5	-8.21
Anthony Mason	39	38	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.04	-16	7	-23	18.5	14.2	4.34	16.2	18.5	-2.24
Gary Payton	74	74	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.10	-15	6	-21	16.1	16.7	-0.62	17.2	19.3	-2.14

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brad Miller	61	60	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.08	15	-6	21	15.9	21.5	-5.63	16.3	15.8	0.49
Al Harrington	80	79	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.08	15	-6	21	16.9	24.8	-7.90	16.3	15.3	0.92
Reggie Miller	60	59	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.04	13	-4	17	16.4	19.9	-3.43	17.6	12.9	4.70
Jermaine O'Neal	64	64	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.06	8	1	7	17.7	16.8	0.96	16.4	15.5	0.95
Jamaal Tinsley	39	39	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	5	-1	17.1	17.8	-0.71	17.1	15.5	1.59
Metta World Peace	46	46	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.15	1	8	-7	18.8	15.9	2.88	15.9	16.5	-0.55
Jeff Foster	20	20	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.14	0	9	-9	21.0	16.4	4.64	14.6	16.7	-2.01
Erick Strickland	16	16	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.14	-6	15	-21	19.6	17.0	2.55	16.4	16.1	0.23
Austin Croshere	5	4	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.19	-8	17	-25	24.4	17.1	7.34	8.0	16.6	-8.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.83,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 77, MEM 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
MIA 80, PHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
GSW 72, DET 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.77,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%