inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 80 Excitement3.2 [1121] MVPAaron McKie (PHI): +8.6%
Philadelphia 76ers 96 Comeback1.7 [715] LVPTheo Ratliff (PHI): -8.3%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Alonzo Mourning0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.04-0.010.01868%0.051-0.033100%0.02
Rodney Buford0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mark Strickland0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Harold Jamison0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04025%0.0000.00425%0.00
Anthony Carter-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.04-0.00-0.03747%-0.011-0.00560%-0.01
Otis Thorpe-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.01671%0.013-0.032100%0.01
Bruce Bowen-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.00736%-0.0200.0000%0.00
P.J. Brown-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.00-0.00450%-0.012-0.0300%0.00
Dan Majerle-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.02831%-0.031-0.0100%0.00
Tim Hardaway-0.040,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.01-0.03729%-0.041-0.0000%0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.060.01-0.000.06761%-0.031-0.03475%-0.01
Jamal Mashburn-0.080,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.03-0.021644%-0.033-0.064100%0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Aaron McKie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.040.03-0.01383%0.0900.0000%0.00
Tyrone Hill0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.010.00669%0.0600.001100%0.00
Eric Snow0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.030.011057%0.0600.001100%0.00
Matt Geiger0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.010.02480%0.0400.002100%0.00
Allen Iverson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.03-0.01-0.052357%0.045-0.021275%0.01
Toni Kukoc0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.01-0.001060%0.022-0.0000%0.00
Todd MacCulloch0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Kevin Ollie00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jumaine Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.042100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ira Bowman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
George Lynch0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.02631%-0.0400.00475%0.01
Theo Ratliff0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.010.00737%-0.042-0.042100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.32.326.515.428.62.529.6133.1
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
PHI +29.5%
PHI +2.8%
PHI +3.7%
PHI +11.6%
PHI +2.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAPHINBAMIAPHINBA
this game17.216.915.294.1114.3101.7
season15.715.0101.299.5
opponent15.515.998.198.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA14.518.917.618.117.2
PHI17.617.116.716.216.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mark Strickland77-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-151419.617.02.5813.417.2-3.77
Harold Jamison77-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-151419.617.02.5813.417.2-3.77
Rodney Buford1414-0.00-0.500.50-0.155-212617.217.20.0216.017.1-1.06
Anthony Carter4139-0.19-0.310.120.01-7-9217.017.4-0.4815.418.2-2.84
Clar. Weatherspoon3435-0.21-0.290.07-0.07-5-11616.317.8-1.4616.717.0-0.24
Otis Thorpe3838-0.22-0.280.07-0.04-6-10416.517.7-1.2216.717.0-0.36
Bruce Bowen4442-0.23-0.270.04-0.08-5-11616.617.8-1.1716.017.8-1.76
Alonzo Mourning4646-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.00-9-7-218.016.31.7018.215.23.00
Dan Majerle4041-0.27-0.23-0.040.02-10-6-417.716.80.9017.816.01.71
P.J. Brown4543-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.02-9-7-217.317.10.1917.516.21.24
Tim Hardaway4850-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.05-9-7-217.716.61.1218.314.83.46
Jamal Mashburn6158-0.510.01-0.520.17-237-3016.818.2-1.4616.417.8-1.40

Philadelphia 76ers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Theo Ratliff68700.470.030.440.061421216.817.3-0.5316.819.3-2.51
Allen Iverson66680.450.050.400.1997216.916.9-0.0116.719.0-2.25
Eric Snow60610.310.190.130.1179-218.113.74.3817.416.80.57
George Lynch49510.310.190.130.0888017.715.71.9516.917.6-0.75
Aaron McKie49480.290.210.09-0.03115616.018.2-2.2117.516.80.69
Toni Kukoc37370.280.220.07-0.04115616.916.90.0717.017.4-0.40
Matt Geiger29310.240.26-0.02-0.141331015.817.4-1.6118.516.42.12
Tyrone Hill46430.130.37-0.240.16-117-1818.315.23.1017.616.80.87
Todd MacCulloch440.000.50-0.50-0.06214-1210.717.2-6.4417.217.20.05
Kevin Ollie440.000.50-0.50-0.06214-1210.717.2-6.4417.217.20.05
Jumaine Jones440.000.50-0.50-0.06214-1210.717.2-6.4417.217.20.05
Ira Bowman440.000.50-0.50-0.06214-1210.717.2-6.4417.217.20.05


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 105, HOU 1180.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
MIL 98, IND 1070.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.83,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,196.0%
MIN 77, MEM 920.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%