inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 86 Excitement3.4 [1095] MVPShawn Marion (MIA): +17.7%
Miami Heat 107 Comeback1.7 [455] LVPJohn Salmons (SAC): -7.0%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Spencer Hawes0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.070.010.021067%0.081-0.02450%-0.00
Mikki Moore0.040,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.01-0.01480%0.062-0.022100%0.01
Kevin Martin0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.01-0.011154%0.0400.00475%-0.00
Shelden Williams-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.04470%-0.0000.00250%0.00
Quincy Douby-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01462%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Francisco Garcia-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.02425%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Brad Miller-0.050,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.040.000.01844%-0.002-0.042100%0.01
Beno Udrih-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00729%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Anthony Johnson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.0100%0.003-0.0500%0.00
Metta World Peace-0.050,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.08-0.01-0.031439%0.013-0.078100%0.04
John Salmons-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.110.00-0.041036%-0.004-0.072100%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shawn Marion0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.150.030.011477%0.192-0.023100%0.00
Jason Williams0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.02-0.03862%0.081-0.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.080.000.011163%0.101-0.025100%0.02
Earl Barron0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.000.03761%0.0300.00475%-0.00
Chris Quinn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Alexander Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Ricky Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.03-0.000.03950%-0.0100.00450%-0.01
Mark Blount0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.010.00954%0.043-0.05875%0.01
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.060.00-0.031250%0.075-0.10650%-0.05
Marcus Banks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.010.04362%-0.022-0.052100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.32.732.418.725.62.729.3136.7
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +43.9%
SAC -8.3%
MIA +8.3%
MIA +5.5%
MIA +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACMIANBASACMIANBA
this game15.015.015.488.7112.6105.7
season14.916.0105.699.0
opponent15.415.0108.3108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAC15.115.414.115.515.0
MIA13.114.614.718.015.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shelden Williams1817-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-232514.915.0-0.1416.914.62.29
Francisco Garcia3131-0.02-0.480.470.10-4-171313.015.9-2.9416.714.22.54
Quincy Douby2625-0.11-0.390.270.12-8-13513.215.6-2.4215.214.90.22
John Salmons5151-0.18-0.320.130.02-7-14714.415.7-1.3216.313.52.84
Anthony Johnson1618-0.19-0.310.110.04-8-13513.715.3-1.5715.614.90.75
Brad Miller5149-0.27-0.23-0.040.23-17-4-1315.714.21.5713.616.5-2.87
Beno Udrih6158-0.28-0.22-0.060.07-12-9-316.213.03.1814.116.4-2.35
Spencer Hawes4949-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.03-10-11113.916.1-2.1916.613.33.37
Metta World Peace6965-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.09-9-12315.513.71.7614.316.5-2.24
Kevin Martin6361-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.01-13-8-516.113.03.1214.515.9-1.42
Mikki Moore5455-0.44-0.06-0.380.15-20-1-1915.015.00.0413.916.5-2.55

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dwyane Wade74750.52-0.020.54-0.2125-42914.715.9-1.1615.313.91.47
Mark Blount62630.410.090.33-0.061651114.715.5-0.7915.114.90.23
Jason Williams57590.410.090.31-0.2723-22514.116.4-2.2814.815.2-0.39
Shawn Marion72720.330.170.16-0.3824-32714.317.2-2.9315.314.21.02
Udonis Haslem58610.300.200.10-0.11147715.114.90.1815.114.90.18
Ricky Davis58590.270.230.040.03813-515.514.21.3715.114.80.30
Earl Barron36360.140.36-0.21-0.00516-1115.214.90.3614.715.2-0.44
Marcus Banks38380.120.38-0.260.18-223-2516.414.12.2815.214.80.39
Chris Quinn10110.000.50-0.500.12-425-2917.214.72.4612.715.3-2.56
Alexander Johnson10110.000.50-0.500.12-425-2917.214.72.4612.715.3-2.56


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 85, CLE 1100.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%
HOU 95, LAC 1280.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.84,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%
CLE 80, MIL 1120.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%