NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	101		Excitement	5.7 [641]		MVP	Jamal Mashburn (MIA): +9.0%
Miami Heat	114		Comeback	1.0 [1037]		LVP	Marcus Camby (TOR): -22.1%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walt Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	13	58%	0.05	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Chris Garner	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Popeye Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	7	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Zan Tabak	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Carlos Rogers	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	7	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	-0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	0.01	16	46%	-0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Shawn Respert	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	0.01	0.07	14	56%	-0.00	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.05
John Wallace	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.04	0.02	10	44%	-0.12	1	-0.00	7	57%	-0.06
Marcus Camby	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.19	-0.04	-0.01	23	33%	-0.16	3	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	-0.00	0.02	14	71%	0.11	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Terry Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.02	11	59%	0.08	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	14	68%	0.13	4	-0.08	3	100%	0.03
Mark Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	7	75%	0.04	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ike Austin	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	82%	0.08	3	-0.06	7	86%	0.01
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	16	50%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dan Majerle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	8	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Askins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Murdock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	4	58%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	8	25%	-0.10	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.6	28.2	15.7	26.2	2.3	25.4	127.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +68.1%

TOR -9.3%

TOR -7.1%

TOR -2.9%

MIA +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	MIA	NBA	TOR	MIA	NBA
this game	16.1	13.9	15.6	106.3	117.5	102.5
season	15.5	15.8		98.7	104.7
opponent	16.2	14.8		99.8	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	18.0	16.2	14.7	15.5	16.1
MIA	10.8	13.2	16.0	15.8	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	13	16	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-15	17	13.7	16.5	-2.84	12.7	14.1	-1.35
Chris Garner	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-13	13	8.0	16.2	-8.23	10.0	13.9	-3.92
Shawn Respert	7	7	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.07	-3	-10	7	19.6	15.9	3.70	19.9	13.4	6.45
Carlos Rogers	41	43	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.20	1	-14	15	18.4	14.4	4.03	13.8	13.9	-0.15
Popeye Jones	37	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	-9	5	16.0	16.2	-0.20	14.1	13.7	0.33
Zan Tabak	14	15	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.04	-9	-4	-5	13.7	16.6	-2.85	12.2	14.2	-1.98
Walt Williams	76	76	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-7	1	15.7	17.8	-2.05	14.3	12.3	1.97
John Wallace	60	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-9	5	16.0	16.3	-0.31	14.9	12.0	2.84
Doug Christie	80	81	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	-4	-5	15.9	17.5	-1.65	13.5	15.7	-2.17
Marcus Camby	72	73	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.05	-14	1	-15	16.0	16.7	-0.67	13.5	15.2	-1.71
Damon Stoudamire	74	73	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.03	-19	6	-25	16.6	14.7	1.90	13.4	15.3	-1.88

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway	78	76	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.10	13	0	13	13.5	15.4	-1.92	15.7	17.9	-2.25
P.J. Brown	60	59	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.09	8	5	3	13.2	14.9	-1.64	16.1	16.2	-0.03
Jamal Mashburn	71	70	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	3	7	13.1	16.0	-2.85	15.8	17.1	-1.27
Mark Strickland	39	38	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.07	7	6	1	14.9	13.2	1.79	16.5	15.9	0.59
Dan Majerle	39	36	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.14	4	9	-5	16.1	12.4	3.72	16.8	15.7	1.10
Voshon Lenard	63	64	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.01	8	5	3	13.2	15.1	-1.87	15.6	17.2	-1.55
Terry Mills	46	45	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.13	4	9	-5	15.7	12.2	3.54	16.6	15.7	0.90
Ike Austin	51	50	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.03	7	6	1	12.2	15.7	-3.54	15.7	16.6	-0.90
Eric Murdock	26	26	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.02	6	7	-1	15.3	13.3	2.01	18.1	15.4	2.66
Keith Askins	12	11	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.04	-2	15	-17	13.5	13.9	-0.43	16.4	16.1	0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.76,0.82,0.87,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.88,0.74,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.92,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 83, DET 88	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.72,0.73,0.63,0.62,0.74,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.79,0.82,0.73,0.71,0.81,0.75,0.82,0.87,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
ORL 102, CHI 120	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.63,0.52,0.7,0.81,0.75,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
MIA 85, GSW 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.77,0.81,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1	94.2%