NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	85		Excitement	5.5 [674]		MVP	Vlade Divac (CHH): +12.3%
Charlotte Hornets	93		Comeback	2.0 [701]		LVP	Lindsey Hunter (DET): -8.3%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Long	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	38%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Joe Dumars	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0	0.03	-0.02	0.02	16	54%	0.00	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Jerome Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Mills	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.03	-0.02	8	56%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Otis Thorpe	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	13	59%	0.08	4	-0.11	3	100%	0.02
Stacey Augmon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Lindsey Hunter	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.01	-0.08	0.01	16	53%	-0.00	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.05	-0.03	8	79%	0.19	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	13	63%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.04
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	4	80%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Glen Rice	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.01	11	58%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	9	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Goldwire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	0.01	11	58%	0.04	3	-0.08	9	67%	-0.02
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	-105.8	2.3	25.6	15.5	26.8	1.8	33.4	-0.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +35.9%

CHH +4.3%

DET -5.5%

CHH +9.1%

CHH +6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CHH	NBA	DET	CHH	NBA
this game	19.0	15.6	15.6	102.4	113.4	104.4
season	17.1	15.7		107.6	108.0
opponent	16.0	16.2		106.5	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	19.4	19.2	18.7	18.5	19.0
CHH	16.1	13.5	16.4	16.7	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Don Reid	6	6	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-10	12	14.8	19.3	-4.47	20.0	15.3	4.74
Grant Hill	19	19	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-9	10	20.5	18.5	1.94	16.1	15.5	0.64
Jerome Williams	1	0	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-8	8	0.0	19.2	-19.21	0.0	15.6	-15.61
Theo Ratliff	17	16	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.04	-3	-5	2	21.2	18.4	2.84	13.1	16.2	-3.16
Terry Mills	44	43	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.30	2	-10	12	18.4	19.6	-1.25	15.7	15.6	0.09
Grant Long	49	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	-3	-2	19.3	18.6	0.71	15.2	16.2	-0.96
Michael Curry	51	51	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.25	-1	-7	6	17.9	20.6	-2.68	14.7	17.1	-2.39
Stacey Augmon	19	18	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	1	-10	23.4	17.7	5.70	16.5	15.4	1.14
Lindsey Hunter	72	72	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.30	0	-8	8	18.3	23.5	-5.16	16.5	9.3	7.19
Otis Thorpe	61	62	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.21	-12	4	-16	19.1	18.7	0.34	15.7	15.4	0.21
Joe Dumars	76	74	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.14	-15	7	-22	19.0	18.7	0.29	15.4	17.4	-1.96

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dell Curry	67	68	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.20	13	-5	18	15.0	18.3	-3.33	18.8	19.9	-1.09
Vlade Divac	55	56	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.19	12	-4	16	15.6	15.7	-0.08	19.7	17.6	2.11
Muggsy Bogues	58	59	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.11	12	-4	16	15.6	15.5	0.10	19.2	18.5	0.61
Anthony Mason	73	73	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	5	-2	15.9	13.2	2.68	18.5	22.8	-4.35
Malik Rose	13	13	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.05	10	-2	12	10.7	16.5	-5.84	21.5	18.5	3.04
Scott Burrell	33	34	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	3	2	15.7	15.6	0.15	19.6	18.6	0.99
Tony Delk	5	4	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.09	0	8	-8	17.0	15.5	1.48	17.5	19.1	-1.55
Glen Rice	56	58	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.27	-7	15	-22	16.6	13.4	3.26	18.8	19.3	-0.44
Anthony Goldwire	23	23	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	12	-16	16.2	15.4	0.84	19.0	18.9	0.09
Matt Geiger	27	27	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	12	-16	15.7	15.6	0.08	17.6	19.7	-2.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.67,0.59,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.73,0.89,0.84,0.94,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 96, MEM 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.9,0.88,0.83,0.89,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.94,0.99,1	93.9%
LAC 92, UTA 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.77,0.84,0.8,0.85,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.94,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.67,0.66,0.81,0.84,0.99,1,1	93.8%
OKC 97, NOH 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.39,0.47,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.8,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.86,0.86,0.83,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	93.6%