NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	92		Excitement	6.1 [615]		MVP	Gordan Giricek (UTA): +15.5%
Utah Jazz	102		Comeback	1.4 [1041]		LVP	Shaun Livingston (LAC): -10.1%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quinton Ross	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	80%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Chris Kaman	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.00	9	68%	0.13	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Corey Maggette	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.01	0.04	11	61%	0.12	2	-0.10	9	100%	0.05
Daniel Ewing	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	1	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.05	-0.00	11	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Aaron Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	15	60%	0.13	5	-0.17	5	60%	-0.02
Tim Thomas	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	10	41%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.04	0.03	12	40%	-0.07	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.11	0.00	5	80%	0.19	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.01	0.02	19	62%	0.11	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.15	-0.00	0.09	14	67%	0.05	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Deron Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.11,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	18	47%	0.05	3	-0.08	9	44%	-0.06
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	8	43%	0.00	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.02
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.6	31.5	15.6	27.3	2.4	31.3	136.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +16.5%

LAC -14.7%

UTA +24.1%

UTA +18.4%

UTA +5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	UTA	NBA	LAC	UTA	NBA
this game	15.8	15.5	15.4	100.0	110.9	104.5
season	15.7	15.9		103.3	107.4
opponent	15.0	15.4		104.9	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.4	16.8	15.5	14.7	15.8
UTA	15.7	15.2	15.1	16.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Ewing	33	33	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.24	9	-19	28	14.3	16.7	-2.41	14.9	15.8	-0.86
Quinton Ross	14	15	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-8	6	17.5	15.5	1.99	11.5	16.3	-4.81
Corey Maggette	62	61	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.24	3	-13	16	15.4	16.7	-1.31	15.9	14.6	1.32
Chris Kaman	58	59	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.15	-2	-8	6	16.9	14.0	2.88	15.6	15.3	0.34
Tim Thomas	57	58	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.01	-8	-2	-6	15.9	15.6	0.30	15.0	16.3	-1.28
Aaron Williams	23	21	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	2	-14	14.3	16.3	-1.96	15.6	15.5	0.17
Cuttino Mobley	78	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.22	-9	-1	-8	15.5	17.5	-1.99	16.3	11.5	4.81
Shaun Livingston	61	61	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.03	-17	7	-24	16.4	14.7	1.62	15.5	15.4	0.11
Elton Brand	74	75	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.18	-12	2	-14	15.9	15.3	0.67	15.6	15.1	0.46

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordan Giricek	43	44	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.19	19	-9	28	16.0	15.0	1.05	15.8	15.9	-0.08
Carlos Boozer	78	77	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.14	15	-5	20	15.4	16.0	-0.60	16.2	13.7	2.49
Mehmet Okur	68	70	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.08	15	-5	20	16.0	14.0	1.96	16.0	15.2	0.83
Deron Williams	69	70	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.08	15	-5	20	16.0	13.9	2.16	16.0	15.2	0.83
Derek Fisher	63	64	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.12	13	-3	16	15.3	15.8	-0.44	16.6	14.1	2.46
Ronnie Brewer	38	36	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.15	-3	13	-16	15.9	15.2	0.78	14.2	16.9	-2.71
Andrei Kirilenko	29	30	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.02	1	9	-8	15.0	15.7	-0.66	16.6	15.4	1.16
Paul Millsap	29	28	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.18	-8	18	-26	15.3	15.6	-0.21	14.4	16.4	-2.04
Dee Brown	14	14	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.06	-5	15	-20	12.2	16.1	-3.86	15.6	15.8	-0.20
Jarron Collins	15	14	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	15	-20	12.6	16.1	-3.45	15.6	15.8	-0.20
CJ Miles	14	13	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.00	-7	17	-24	16.1	15.4	0.77	13.9	16.1	-2.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.77,0.84,0.8,0.85,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.94,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.67,0.66,0.81,0.84,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 94, NYK 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.78,0.73,0.84,0.8,0.75,0.86,0.74,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.98,1	94.3%
CLE 97, LAC 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.89,0.9,0.98,1	93.9%
DET 85, CHH 93	0.5,0.5,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.67,0.59,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.73,0.89,0.84,0.94,0.99,1	93.8%