NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	97		Excitement	5.2 [783]		MVP	Chris Paul (NOH): +22.1%
New Orleans Hornets	109		Comeback	1.9 [1204]		LVP	Peja Stojakovic (NOH): -7.5%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.01	0.01	16	75%	0.21	5	-0.10	8	87%	0.03
Damien Wilkins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	9	55%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Green	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.05	0.01	11	71%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Chris Wilcox	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.04	10	61%	0.04	2	-0.05	3	0%	-0.06
Earl Watson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Joe Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Russell Westbrook	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	10	41%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Nick Collison	-0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	4	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.16	0.07	0.01	17	71%	0.24	2	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
David West	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.16	0.04	0.01	20	70%	0.27	3	-0.08	7	100%	0.04
Rasual Butler	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.02	0.03	5	71%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.03	0.02	4	75%	0.09	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	14	43%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.4	27.2	15.7	26.4	1.7	29.2	129.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +28.0%

NOH +13.5%

NOH +6.1%

NOH +1.5%

NOH +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	NOH	NBA	OKC	NOH	NBA
this game	16.4	17.1	15.5	112.8	126.7	106.4
season	14.9	16.6		100.5	105.9
opponent	15.6	15.1		106.0	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	16.4	16.6	16.5	16.1	16.4
NOH	17.1	16.9	15.5	19.0	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Smith	38	38	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.19	12	-24	36	16.2	16.6	-0.45	18.3	16.1	2.12
Chris Wilcox	50	51	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.17	1	-13	14	16.5	16.3	0.17	17.3	16.7	0.57
Russell Westbrook	53	52	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.17	0	-12	12	17.2	15.2	1.99	17.7	16.2	1.50
Earl Watson	46	45	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-4	-4	16.1	16.8	-0.73	17.1	17.0	0.06
Damien Wilkins	52	51	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.02	-10	-2	-8	15.6	17.6	-2.00	17.5	16.4	1.15
Jeff Green	72	73	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.08	-16	4	-20	16.3	16.8	-0.45	17.0	17.4	-0.36
Kevin Durant	71	72	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.13	-15	3	-18	16.7	15.2	1.46	16.2	21.6	-5.45
Nick Collison	48	48	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	0.04	-24	12	-36	16.6	16.2	0.45	16.1	18.3	-2.12

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	71	71	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.09	19	-7	26	17.2	16.6	0.58	16.7	14.9	1.78
Peja Stojakovic	63	62	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.04	20	-8	28	16.2	19.4	-3.15	17.0	15.0	2.01
Chris Paul	79	79	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.11	14	-2	16	16.5	23.4	-6.91	16.5	14.9	1.69
Tyson Chandler	62	63	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.03	15	-3	18	16.4	18.7	-2.31	16.9	15.1	1.80
James Posey	55	55	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.07	12	0	12	17.2	16.8	0.38	16.6	16.1	0.49
Hilton Armstrong	24	23	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.12	-3	15	-18	18.7	16.4	2.31	15.1	16.9	-1.80
Rasual Butler	44	46	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.14	-4	16	-20	18.7	15.4	3.32	15.7	17.2	-1.53
Devin Brown	12	11	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.07	-6	18	-24	14.8	17.4	-2.61	15.1	16.6	-1.51
Julian Wright	20	20	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.08	-7	19	-26	19.0	16.5	2.50	14.9	16.9	-1.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.39,0.47,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.8,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.86,0.86,0.83,0.95,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 87, CHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.83,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.5%
SAC 101, MEM 108	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.98,1,1,1	93.9%
LAL 112, CLE 121	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.68,0.68,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.79,0.87,0.68,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.85,0.99,0.99,1	93.8%