NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	87		Excitement	6.0 [367]		MVP	Ron Harper (CHI): +11.7%
Chicago Bulls	103		Comeback	1.6 [220]		LVP	Kendall Gill (NJN): -22.6%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jayson Williams	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	16	64%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Eric Murdock	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Evans	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	10	61%	0.06	2	-0.07	8	87%	0.02
Lucious Harris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	8	56%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Doug Overton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	4	50%	0.02	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Kerry Kittles	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.03	-0.06	12	38%	-0.05	4	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	6	29%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Chris Gatling	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	2	12%	-0.10	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.06
Kendall Gill	-0.23	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.14	-0.08	0.00	7	46%	-0.11	4	-0.12	10	50%	-0.07

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ron Harper	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.02	0.03	17	69%	0.13	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.07	0.11	-0.04	11	50%	0.15	3	-0.07	6	33%	0.04
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	7	80%	0.10	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
Andrew Lang	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	9	67%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kornel David	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bill Wennington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.19,-0.18,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.02	-0.01	16	54%	0.02	3	-0.08	20	65%	-0.07
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corey Benjamin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	34.5	15.6	26.3	2.5	29.2	133.9
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +17.8%

CHI +6.9%

CHI +10.4%

CHI +16.0%

NJN -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CHI	NBA	NJN	CHI	NBA
this game	13.7	15.6	15.8	87.9	105.1	99.6
season	15.0	16.7		96.5	90.6
opponent	15.4	15.6		101.1	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.2	10.9	14.3	16.0	13.7
CHI	12.9	14.8	17.0	18.3	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lucious Harris	27	26	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.05	2	-18	20	13.4	13.8	-0.33	17.0	15.0	2.01
Brian Evans	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-15	14	9.5	13.9	-4.36	13.0	15.7	-2.67
Eric Murdock	46	44	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-18	20	12.7	14.5	-1.77	15.3	15.8	-0.48
Scott Burrell	33	31	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-19	22	13.6	13.7	-0.17	17.0	14.9	2.15
Chris Gatling	33	32	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-18	20	13.5	13.8	-0.26	18.1	14.3	3.81
Jim McIlvaine	29	26	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-15	14	14.1	13.5	0.54	14.9	15.8	-0.92
Jayson Williams	70	72	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.05	-15	-1	-14	13.5	14.1	-0.54	15.8	14.9	0.92
Keith Van Horn	66	66	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.08	-18	2	-20	13.8	13.5	0.26	14.3	18.1	-3.81
Kendall Gill	62	63	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.07	-18	2	-20	14.0	13.1	0.88	15.0	16.6	-1.57
Doug Overton	53	54	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.05	-18	2	-20	14.5	12.7	1.77	15.8	15.3	0.48
Kerry Kittles	72	72	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.02	-18	2	-20	13.8	13.4	0.33	15.0	17.0	-2.01

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ron Harper	72	72	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.05	20	-4	24	15.3	16.3	-0.96	14.1	12.7	1.40
Brent Barry	77	75	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.01	13	3	10	15.9	14.5	1.38	13.6	14.0	-0.41
Mark Bryant	31	33	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.10	10	6	4	14.6	16.0	-1.43	13.1	14.0	-0.94
Dickey Simpkins	63	63	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.07	14	2	12	15.1	16.3	-1.17	13.8	13.5	0.25
Toni Kukoc	82	83	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.03	10	6	4	15.7	14.9	0.75	13.5	14.5	-0.97
Randy Brown	74	74	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.02	6	10	-4	16.1	14.0	2.01	13.4	14.5	-1.11
Kornel David	22	23	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	16	-16	17.0	15.2	1.80	14.0	13.6	0.41
Bill Wennington	9	8	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	13	-10	17.1	15.4	1.71	12.0	13.8	-1.84
Corey Benjamin	14	15	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.08	-4	20	-24	16.4	15.4	0.93	14.5	13.5	0.92
Andrew Lang	11	12	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	20	-24	14.2	15.7	-1.55	12.5	13.9	-1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.83,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 89, SAS 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.9%
NOH 82, ATL 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1	94.8%
UTA 90, SAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.61,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.8,0.79,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.98,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.8%