NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	82		Excitement	5.5 [687]		MVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (ATL): +8.4%
Atlanta Hawks	89		Comeback	1.9 [736]		LVP	Theo Ratliff (ATL): -22.5%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stacey Augmon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Courtney Alexander	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	9	56%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.02	14	56%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.02	13	45%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Robert Traylor	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	3	12%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jamal Mashburn	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	19	41%	-0.10	2	-0.04	8	87%	-0.00
Baron Davis	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.15	-0.03	0.01	21	29%	-0.16	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	-0.05	17	59%	0.15	2	-0.07	12	100%	0.07
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	64%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	11	54%	0.06	4	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	1	100%	0.00	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	0.04	22	52%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.22,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.21	-0.04	-0.03	12	23%	-0.16	3	-0.06	6	17%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.3	30.4	15.4	26.6	2.3	27.3	128.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +49.1%

ATL +11.8%

NOH -2.0%

NOH -9.1%

ATL +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	ATL	NBA	NOH	ATL	NBA
this game	16.2	14.3	15.5	87.2	93.7	101.6
season	15.9	15.1		101.6	99.5
opponent	15.7	15.6		103.1	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	18.6	16.7	14.8	14.6	16.2
ATL	11.4	12.8	15.2	18.1	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Magloire	40	41	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.07	5	-12	17	17.1	15.6	1.46	14.3	14.2	0.03
Stacey Augmon	20	20	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	-1	-5	14.7	16.6	-1.89	13.7	14.4	-0.70
P.J. Brown	76	78	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.26	1	-8	9	17.0	13.1	3.93	14.7	12.2	2.53
Jamal Mashburn	77	78	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.34	2	-9	11	16.5	14.9	1.58	14.6	12.6	1.96
Baron Davis	82	84	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.27	-3	-4	1	16.8	12.1	4.76	14.4	13.5	0.90
George Lynch	22	21	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.01	-12	5	-17	14.5	16.8	-2.26	13.5	14.5	-1.00
David Wesley	75	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.20	-6	-1	-5	16.2	16.4	-0.17	14.0	15.1	-1.14
Courtney Alexander	47	47	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.29	-3	-4	1	14.3	18.2	-3.87	15.4	13.1	2.28
Robert Traylor	31	31	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.02	-13	6	-19	16.2	16.3	-0.06	11.6	15.5	-3.87

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Theo Ratliff	78	77	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.18	9	-2	11	14.3	13.8	0.52	16.1	16.6	-0.50
Jason Terry	76	75	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.18	8	-1	9	14.6	12.9	1.70	16.3	16.0	0.29
Glenn Robinson	75	74	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.14	9	-2	11	14.0	15.2	-1.26	16.8	14.2	2.58
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	78	76	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.30	0	7	-7	14.5	13.0	1.53	16.6	14.6	2.01
Dion Glover	42	40	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.14	5	2	3	13.8	14.6	-0.75	14.9	17.2	-2.24
Alan Henderson	34	35	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.11	5	2	3	13.4	14.7	-1.31	15.6	16.6	-1.01
Ira Newble	51	53	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	5	-3	14.9	13.5	1.32	17.1	15.1	2.06
Darvin Ham	22	21	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.16	-2	9	-11	14.5	14.2	0.38	14.5	16.7	-2.26
Emanual Davis	19	19	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.11	-1	8	-9	12.9	14.6	-1.70	16.0	16.3	-0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 99, MIA 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.72,0.88,0.8,0.72,0.78,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
NJN 87, CHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.83,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.8%
HOU 70, CLE 100	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.5,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.9,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%