NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	99		Excitement	4.8 [858]		MVP	Thaddeus Young (BKN): +18.3%
Miami Heat	110		Comeback	1.5 [1043]		LVP	Joe Johnson (MIA): -16.2%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.14	0.03	-0.01	12	83%	0.21	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Henry Sims	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.02	0.03	20	62%	0.08	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Markel Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.05	4	87%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Sergey Karasev	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Sean Kilpatrick	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.01	0.04	11	54%	0.00	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Chris McCullough	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	42%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Donald Sloan	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	3	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Shane Larkin	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	5	44%	0.00	4	-0.10	6	83%	0.02
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.05	0.03	10	45%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Richardson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.06	-0.00	9	80%	0.19	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.17	0.01	0.05	16	75%	0.14	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.15	0.03	0.05	19	75%	0.23	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Justise Winslow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	10	59%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	5	40%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	3	87%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.03	0.05	11	41%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.17	-0.03	-0.04	8	12%	-0.08	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.8	28.5	12.8	24.3	2.3	28.5	120.5
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +30.7%

MIA +1.5%

BKN -7.0%

MIA +21.0%

MIA +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	MIA	NBA	BKN	MIA	NBA
this game	14.5	15.3	14.9	104.2	112.2	105.1
season	15.0	15.5		101.9	104.5
opponent	15.1	14.8		103.1	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	14.9	13.5	15.1	14.8	14.5
MIA	14.5	15.3	14.9	16.5	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sergey Karasev	39	40	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.06	1	-12	13	12.8	15.7	-2.93	15.3	15.3	-0.02
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	38	39	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-9	7	15.3	14.0	1.32	16.6	14.4	2.21
Brook Lopez	67	70	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.22	0	-11	11	14.6	14.4	0.17	15.5	14.8	0.70
Thaddeus Young	62	63	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-9	7	14.3	15.0	-0.69	15.4	15.0	0.44
Shane Larkin	60	61	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.06	-6	-5	-1	14.0	15.5	-1.49	14.8	16.1	-1.32
Bojan Bogdanovic	49	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.10	-5	-6	1	14.2	14.9	-0.75	14.4	16.1	-1.67
Markel Brown	24	25	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-3	-5	14.5	14.5	-0.01	16.0	15.0	1.01
Donald Sloan	35	37	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	-6	1	15.5	14.0	1.49	16.1	14.8	1.32
Chris McCullough	33	35	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.01	-9	-2	-7	15.0	14.3	0.69	15.0	15.4	-0.44
Henry Sims	28	28	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	0	-11	14.4	14.6	-0.17	14.8	15.5	-0.70
Sean Kilpatrick	40	43	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.10	-8	-3	-5	15.9	13.5	2.38	14.6	15.8	-1.21

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hassan Whiteside	61	62	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.10	16	-5	21	15.4	15.2	0.20	14.9	13.8	1.12
Josh Richardson	79	77	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.16	13	-2	15	15.2	15.8	-0.69	14.4	15.2	-0.76
Justise Winslow	60	61	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.07	14	-3	17	15.9	14.3	1.67	15.4	12.9	2.50
Dwyane Wade	67	65	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.11	9	2	7	14.6	16.7	-2.04	14.1	15.5	-1.44
Luol Deng	64	62	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.08	6	5	1	15.1	15.7	-0.64	14.0	15.5	-1.44
Josh McRoberts	34	33	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.09	5	6	-1	15.7	15.1	0.64	15.5	14.0	1.44
Joe Johnson	73	69	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.21	-2	13	-15	15.3	15.3	0.01	14.0	16.1	-2.11
Gerald Green	15	13	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	12	-13	16.3	15.1	1.16	16.5	14.2	2.31
Amar'e Stoudemire	37	33	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.08	-5	16	-21	15.2	15.4	-0.20	13.8	14.9	-1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.72,0.88,0.8,0.72,0.78,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 82, ATL 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1	94.9%
CHI 93, LAC 120	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
SAC 103, LAL 126	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.66,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.71,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.83,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%