NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	90		Excitement	5.6 [685]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): +23.1%
Sacramento Kings	105		Comeback	1.6 [731]		LVP	John Stockton (UTA): -19.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Manning	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	11	74%	0.14	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
John Starks	0.10	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	-0.02	-0.01	16	66%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Crotty	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Benoit	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.04	0.04	8	87%	0.10	6	-0.17	7	86%	0.02
Bryon Russell	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.02	6	56%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Olden Polynice	-0.10	0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	8	39%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Donyell Marshall	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	-0.00	11	30%	-0.09	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.18	0.04	-0.02	17	76%	0.24	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	5	100%	0.14	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	4	57%	0.00	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Art Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.03	23	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.03
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	7	36%	-0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.03	0.04	9	54%	-0.04	3	-0.09	8	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	24.6	16.4	25.5	2.7	33.0	128.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +24.3%

SAC +10.3%

UTA -8.9%

SAC +22.3%

SAC +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SAC	NBA	UTA	SAC	NBA
this game	15.8	14.5	15.5	93.8	111.7	100.9
season	16.0	14.4		105.3	103.1
opponent	15.5	15.5		97.8	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.1	17.0	17.8	14.6	15.8
SAC	14.1	14.3	15.0	14.8	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Crotty	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-15	15	8.3	16.0	-7.68	6.7	14.8	-8.12
Scott Padgett	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-15	15	8.3	16.0	-7.68	6.7	14.8	-8.12
David Benoit	27	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.09	3	-18	21	15.0	16.1	-1.02	14.2	14.7	-0.51
Jacque Vaughn	39	37	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.14	2	-17	19	14.4	16.7	-2.29	13.6	15.1	-1.46
Olden Polynice	40	40	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.11	0	-15	15	16.4	15.3	1.04	15.0	14.2	0.86
Greg Ostertag	29	27	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.07	-3	-12	9	15.0	16.1	-1.06	14.9	14.4	0.50
Danny Manning	47	46	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-10	5	15.1	16.4	-1.39	14.6	14.5	0.07
Donyell Marshall	39	38	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.01	-8	-7	-1	16.7	15.1	1.55	14.7	14.4	0.30
Bryon Russell	68	65	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.00	-11	-4	-7	15.4	16.7	-1.33	14.6	14.4	0.12
John Stockton	57	57	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.08	-17	2	-19	16.7	14.4	2.29	15.1	13.6	1.46
Karl Malone	67	66	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.07	-19	4	-23	16.5	14.0	2.49	14.7	14.2	0.50
John Starks	61	63	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.00	-17	2	-19	16.3	14.8	1.57	14.6	14.3	0.31

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Christie	78	80	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.02	20	-5	25	14.5	14.9	-0.41	16.0	14.5	1.53
Chris Webber	83	85	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.03	17	-2	19	14.5	14.8	-0.32	16.1	13.3	2.82
Peja Stojakovic	76	76	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.04	16	-1	17	14.5	14.7	-0.24	16.1	14.6	1.48
Jason Williams	57	57	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.09	11	4	7	14.1	15.2	-1.13	16.1	15.2	0.91
Scot Pollard	26	30	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.16	5	10	-5	14.5	14.6	-0.10	16.5	15.5	1.01
Vlade Divac	58	57	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.09	8	7	1	15.1	13.6	1.45	15.9	15.5	0.43
Bobby Jackson	37	39	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.03	4	11	-7	15.2	14.1	1.13	15.2	16.1	-0.91
Lawrence Funderburke	15	16	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.04	2	13	-11	15.9	14.3	1.59	14.4	16.0	-1.60
Hedo Turkoglu	34	36	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	21	-27	14.8	14.4	0.41	14.6	16.5	-1.94
Art Long	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	16	-17	6.7	14.8	-8.12	6.5	16.0	-9.47
Jabari Smith	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	16	-17	6.7	14.8	-8.12	6.5	16.0	-9.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.61,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.8,0.79,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.98,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 91, LAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.75,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.88,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.94,0.93,1	95.3%
NOH 87, WAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.88,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
NJN 87, CHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.83,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.8%