NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	87		Excitement	4.7 [885]		MVP	John Wall (WAS): +24.9%
Washington Wizards	96		Comeback	1.5 [809]		LVP	Emeka Okafor (WAS): -10.5%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lance Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	60%	0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Anthony Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	-0.02	0.05	8	67%	0.05	1	-0.04	8	100%	0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	4	55%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.05	-0.01	17	54%	0.06	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00
Lou Amundson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Roberts	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	18	50%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.05	-0.04	18	36%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Wall	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.21	0.05	0.01	15	91%	0.32	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.03	0.02	5	77%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	0.02
Cartier Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	-0.00	6	83%	0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.03	6	71%	0.07	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	14	60%	0.09	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	9	37%	0.00	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	10	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	4	33%	-0.05	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.3	25.3	15.7	24.7	2.5	30.4	123.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +43.1%

WAS +10.9%

NOH -14.1%

WAS +8.0%

WAS +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	WAS	NBA	NOH	WAS	NBA
this game	16.9	16.8	15.4	102.4	111.6	104.1
season	16.3	15.1		103.9	98.8
opponent	15.7	15.6		101.2	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	13.8	20.0	19.0	15.6	16.9
WAS	16.2	17.9	13.8	19.5	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Davis	33	34	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.18	5	-14	19	13.2	19.3	-6.11	16.0	17.3	-1.32
Lance Thomas	24	25	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.05	0	-9	9	18.1	16.5	1.62	21.0	15.0	6.02
Robin Lopez	46	50	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.05	-2	-7	5	16.9	16.9	0.04	16.2	17.5	-1.31
Roger Mason Jr.	25	24	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.11	-4	-5	1	18.3	16.3	1.93	19.3	15.8	3.50
Brian Roberts	25	22	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.06	-6	-3	-3	19.2	15.9	3.29	19.2	15.9	3.24
Eric Gordon	56	59	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-3	-3	16.2	18.4	-2.22	15.8	18.9	-3.04
Greivis Vasquez	71	73	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.23	-4	-5	1	16.7	18.2	-1.55	16.0	21.3	-5.35
Lou Amundson	31	28	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.06	-10	1	-11	18.8	15.9	2.92	17.9	16.2	1.62
Al-Farouq Aminu	54	55	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.15	-7	-2	-5	15.8	18.8	-3.02	14.9	20.2	-5.31
Ryan Anderson	60	60	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.18	-11	2	-13	18.0	14.3	3.68	17.2	15.8	1.32

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garrett Temple	62	60	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.21	9	0	9	16.1	18.4	-2.29	16.5	17.9	-1.42
John Wall	62	62	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.02	12	-3	15	15.8	19.2	-3.33	16.4	18.3	-1.84
Trevor Booker	46	46	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.20	5	4	1	18.0	15.4	2.60	16.9	16.9	0.04
Kevin Seraphin	30	30	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.09	8	1	7	17.3	16.5	0.77	17.9	16.4	1.52
Martell Webster	59	58	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.20	1	8	-7	16.8	16.7	0.09	16.8	17.1	-0.34
Emeka Okafor	52	51	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.11	2	7	-5	15.8	18.3	-2.48	16.6	17.4	-0.82
Trevor Ariza	37	38	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.20	-1	10	-11	18.9	15.2	3.68	16.4	17.3	-0.90
Cartier Martin	19	18	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.10	2	7	-5	16.6	16.8	-0.24	18.2	16.6	1.58
Nene	44	43	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	6	-3	16.3	17.2	-0.92	16.6	17.2	-0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.88,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 110, MIA 126	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.5,0.6,0.49,0.36,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.9,0.87,0.74,0.9,0.88,0.89,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
OKC 88, MIN 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.6,0.58,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1	95.0%
UTA 90, SAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.61,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.8,0.79,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.98,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.9%