NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	110		Excitement	6.0 [668]		MVP	Josh Richardson (MIA): +19.1%
Miami Heat	126		Comeback	1.8 [927]		LVP	Cedi Osman (CLE): -12.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Clarkson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.14	0.02	0.04	10	91%	0.21	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Brandon Knight	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.01	0.00	11	68%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Collin Sexton	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.00	17	75%	0.20	7	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Marquese Chriss	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.02	17	54%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Nik Stauskas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	57%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
David Nwaba	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Larry Nance Jr.	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ante Zizic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0.04	3	60%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Cedi Osman	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.03	9	25%	-0.08	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Richardson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.15	0.07	0.02	12	71%	0.19	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Bam Adebayo	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.04	0.01	8	85%	0.17	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.02	0.01	7	75%	0.14	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	7	67%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Justise Winslow	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.02	12	55%	0.13	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	9	58%	0.06	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Rodney McGruder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	-0.01	0.06	6	76%	0.04	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.01
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	9	55%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	57%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.6	26.8	14.7	28.2	0.7	31.6	132.1
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +21.0%

MIA +14.5%

MIA +13.5%

MIA +8.6%

CLE -7.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIA	NBA	CLE	MIA	NBA
this game	16.2	14.7	14.3	118.3	135.5	109.3
season	15.5	14.8		106.3	106.3
opponent	14.3	13.9		106.7	116.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.2	15.5	17.4	17.9	16.2
MIA	16.4	14.5	13.2	14.9	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Nance Jr.	33	34	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-16	16	15.3	16.7	-1.43	15.3	14.4	0.82
Ante Zizic	27	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-16	16	15.9	16.4	-0.53	15.6	14.4	1.24
Brandon Knight	48	50	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.16	0	-16	16	16.0	16.5	-0.47	16.0	13.3	2.72
Nik Stauskas	23	23	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.07	-6	-10	4	17.7	15.8	1.90	13.1	15.3	-2.14
Kevin Love	60	59	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.14	-14	-2	-12	15.9	16.8	-0.97	15.1	14.2	0.89
David Nwaba	44	46	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	-5	-11	6	16.7	15.8	0.91	13.1	16.3	-3.23
Marquese Chriss	38	35	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.11	-14	-2	-12	16.8	15.8	1.04	13.7	15.4	-1.65
Jordan Clarkson	56	55	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	-5	-6	16.2	16.3	-0.07	14.5	15.1	-0.53
Cedi Osman	69	68	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.07	-14	-2	-12	16.3	16.0	0.25	15.1	13.8	1.34
Collin Sexton	67	67	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.06	-16	0	-16	16.1	16.5	-0.43	14.9	14.3	0.60

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justise Winslow	66	67	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.09	18	-2	20	14.8	14.6	0.21	16.4	15.8	0.53
Josh Richardson	69	68	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.03	16	0	16	14.9	14.2	0.72	16.4	15.8	0.53
Bam Adebayo	47	48	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.01	9	7	2	15.0	14.5	0.52	16.1	16.4	-0.29
Kelly Olynyk	50	50	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.03	8	8	0	15.2	14.2	0.95	15.6	16.9	-1.31
Rodney McGruder	42	41	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.00	9	7	2	13.2	16.0	-2.87	16.7	15.8	0.86
Derrick Jones Jr.	43	43	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.00	8	8	0	14.2	15.2	-0.95	16.9	15.6	1.31
Hassan Whiteside	46	45	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.02	7	9	-2	14.5	15.0	-0.52	16.4	16.1	0.29
Dion Waiters	33	34	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.02	5	11	-6	16.7	13.6	3.08	14.6	17.2	-2.53
Dwyane Wade	38	39	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.11	0	16	-16	14.8	14.7	0.08	16.6	16.0	0.58
Goran Dragic	31	30	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	16	-16	14.2	15.0	-0.87	16.3	16.2	0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.5,0.6,0.49,0.36,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.9,0.87,0.74,0.9,0.88,0.89,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 87, WAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.88,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
NOH 79, CHI 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.8,0.79,0.7,0.81,0.78,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.91,0.93,0.96,1,1,1,0.99,0.97,1,1	94.3%
UTA 90, SAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.61,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.8,0.79,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.98,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.1%