NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	79		Excitement	5.4 [729]		MVP	Donyell Marshall (CHI): +9.8%
Chicago Bulls	84		Comeback	1.2 [427]		LVP	Baron Davis (NOH): -22.5%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Traylor	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Alexander	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	11	45%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Moiso	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	4	64%	0.03	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
George Lynch	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	17	50%	-0.04	3	-0.08	8	75%	0.03
David Wesley	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.03	-0.07	0.08	15	59%	-0.04	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Baron Davis	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22	-0.18	-0.05	-0.01	21	29%	-0.21	1	-0.01	6	33%	-0.05

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.01	-0.01	11	68%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lonny Baxter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	15	58%	0.10	5	-0.10	6	67%	-0.01
Eddy Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	0.01	5	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	0.01	5	71%	0.01	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.04
Trenton Hassell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Jay Williams	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	3	67%	0.01	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.02	-0.04	8	28%	-0.05	2	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.03	11	35%	-0.06	3	-0.06	4	25%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.7	27.3	15.6	27.0	1.5	30.7	125.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +51.9%

NOH -5.2%

CHI +6.7%

NOH -6.3%

CHI +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	CHI	NBA	NOH	CHI	NBA
this game	16.5	15.5	15.5	87.8	93.3	101.6
season	15.9	15.0		101.6	98.3
opponent	15.1	15.6		103.3	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	15.7	16.5	16.4	17.6	16.5
CHI	14.9	15.5	15.6	15.9	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stacey Augmon	10	10	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.02	5	-10	15	13.1	17.0	-3.88	15.9	15.4	0.50
George Lynch	17	16	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.08	0	-5	5	16.1	16.7	-0.60	15.7	15.4	0.28
Robert Traylor	32	33	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.02	3	-8	11	15.7	17.0	-1.28	16.2	15.1	1.10
Jamaal Magloire	40	40	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.34	9	-14	23	15.5	17.4	-1.84	14.7	16.0	-1.32
Jerome Moiso	31	32	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.25	4	-9	13	17.2	16.2	1.04	15.0	15.7	-0.66
Courtney Alexander	47	45	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-8	3	-11	17.3	15.7	1.67	14.9	16.0	-1.18
Jamal Mashburn	73	73	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.38	0	-5	5	16.2	17.9	-1.65	15.6	14.6	1.00
Baron Davis	78	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.34	-4	-1	-3	16.3	17.9	-1.58	16.0	11.4	4.56
David Wesley	67	66	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.32	-11	6	-17	16.9	15.6	1.32	15.4	15.6	-0.23
P.J. Brown	55	55	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.07	-23	18	-41	17.8	14.6	3.18	15.2	15.8	-0.56

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donyell Marshall	65	65	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.38	2	3	-1	15.1	16.4	-1.36	17.4	14.4	2.91
Jay Williams	38	38	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	-6	17	14.9	15.8	-0.93	17.0	16.2	0.83
Fred Hoiberg	37	38	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.02	10	-5	15	15.5	15.4	0.05	17.5	15.9	1.61
Eddie Robinson	36	37	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.01	9	-4	13	16.3	14.9	1.37	17.8	15.6	2.20
Tyson Chandler	44	44	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.01	9	-4	13	15.2	15.7	-0.54	16.2	16.9	-0.75
Jalen Rose	68	67	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.29	-1	6	-7	15.1	16.7	-1.62	16.0	18.1	-2.13
Marcus Fizer	38	37	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.25	-2	7	-9	15.0	15.8	-0.74	17.0	16.2	0.73
Trenton Hassell	39	38	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.38	-8	13	-21	15.4	15.5	-0.17	15.3	17.4	-2.13
Eddy Curry	25	26	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	1	3	16.8	14.9	1.86	15.7	16.9	-1.25
Jamal Crawford	52	52	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.31	-6	11	-17	15.8	14.9	0.93	16.2	17.0	-0.83
Corie Blount	5	5	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.09	-2	7	-9	17.4	15.3	2.06	15.8	16.6	-0.79
Lonny Baxter	3	3	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.05	-1	6	-7	18.7	15.3	3.32	8.3	16.8	-8.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.8,0.79,0.7,0.81,0.78,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.91,0.93,0.96,1,1,1,0.99,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 83, SEA 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
DAL 80, SAS 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.72,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
POR 107, LAL 121	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.8,0.91,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%