NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	80		Excitement	5.5 [752]		MVP	Brent Barry (SAS): +13.1%
San Antonio Spurs	94		Comeback	1.3 [1010]		LVP	Erick Dampier (DAL): -20.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alan Henderson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	4	78%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	4	25%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	58%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	14	44%	-0.02	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	18	51%	-0.03	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.02
Devin Harris	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.02	9	52%	-0.03	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.01
Josh Howard	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	8	35%	-0.08	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.04
Erick Dampier	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.17	-0.04	-0.01	4	7%	-0.15	2	-0.05	6	17%	-0.10

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.02	-0.02	4	109%	0.13	1	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.02	5	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.01	7	62%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Wilks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.00	17	57%	0.04	3	-0.04	13	69%	-0.01
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	-0.01	-0.06	10	27%	-0.05	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	4	10%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	9	30%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	6	27%	-0.08	1	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.05	0.02	10	58%	-0.02	3	-0.09	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	1.8	31.5	16.8	29.2	1.7	29.0	137.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +19.4%

SAS +1.0%

SAS +11.0%

SAS +17.5%

SAS +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SAS	NBA	DAL	SAS	NBA
this game	14.0	16.3	15.5	85.1	97.9	104.0
season	14.9	16.3		108.2	105.8
opponent	15.6	15.5		98.4	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.8	11.7	15.2	13.9	14.0
SAS	17.0	13.5	16.7	18.8	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Dickau	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-16	18	8.7	14.2	-5.48	24.7	15.9	8.83
Shawn Bradley	5	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-16	18	9.2	14.3	-5.07	26.6	15.7	10.87
Alan Henderson	28	29	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.05	-2	-12	10	13.1	14.4	-1.27	15.5	16.6	-1.11
Calvin Booth	30	33	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	-10	6	11.8	15.0	-3.28	15.5	16.7	-1.23
Devin Harris	54	54	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	-7	0	13.8	14.2	-0.44	17.6	14.5	3.10
Marquis Daniels	50	51	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.04	-6	-8	2	14.5	13.4	1.11	16.2	16.4	-0.25
Jerry Stackhouse	67	69	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	-4	-6	14.1	13.9	0.21	14.9	19.9	-4.95
Jason Terry	44	46	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-10	-4	-6	13.9	14.1	-0.13	15.0	17.5	-2.56
Dirk Nowitzki	64	63	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	-4	-6	15.0	11.8	3.28	16.7	15.5	1.23
Erick Dampier	58	59	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	-3	-8	15.0	12.4	2.66	15.9	16.9	-1.02
Josh Howard	66	67	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.10	-14	0	-14	13.9	14.2	-0.31	17.0	14.6	2.49

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruce Bowen	54	55	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.07	12	2	10	16.8	15.7	1.11	15.4	12.1	3.29
Brent Barry	57	53	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.01	14	0	14	15.8	17.0	-1.24	14.1	13.9	0.26
Tim Duncan	69	70	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.04	15	-1	16	16.7	15.4	1.28	14.6	12.1	2.52
Tony Parker	66	65	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.05	13	1	12	16.5	15.8	0.67	14.2	13.4	0.80
Manu Ginobili	47	48	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.01	8	6	2	16.9	15.7	1.18	13.7	14.3	-0.51
Rasho Nesterovic	39	38	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.20	1	13	-12	17.2	15.7	1.50	14.3	13.8	0.53
Beno Udrih	30	29	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.14	1	13	-12	15.8	16.5	-0.67	13.4	14.2	-0.80
Malik Rose	44	44	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.14	0	14	-14	16.5	16.1	0.43	14.7	13.4	1.28
Robert Horry	26	24	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.14	9	5	4	13.6	17.3	-3.72	11.1	15.0	-3.86
Tony Massenburg	14	12	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	11	-8	16.4	16.3	0.08	12.5	14.2	-1.72
Mike Wilks	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	23.0	16.1	6.92	9.0	14.2	-5.16
Devin Brown	31	29	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	18	-22	14.8	17.0	-2.19	12.1	14.8	-2.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.72,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 73, CHA 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.91,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
POR 93, IND 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.97,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,1	94.9%
ATL 92, BOS 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.66,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.85,0.84,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%