NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	96		Excitement	6.2 [593]		MVP	Mike Conley (MEM): +23.1%
Memphis Grizzlies	98		Comeback	1.9 [283]		LVP	Metta World Peace (LAL): -20.0%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Blake	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.01	0.01	5	90%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.00	8	56%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.02	13	48%	0.04	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Derrick Caracter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	25	47%	0.04	3	-0.09	12	83%	0.04
Lamar Odom	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	7	44%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Matt Barnes	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	3	60%	0.04	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.02
Metta World Peace	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.2	-0.02	-0.16	0.02	11	55%	-0.11	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.19,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.29,0.23	0.23	0.21	0.04	0.02	13	87%	0.34	2	-0.11	6	67%	-0.02
Sam Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	2	117%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	11	48%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	8	53%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Xavier Henry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	11	55%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	13	43%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Rudy Gay	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	15	47%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.7	32.3	16.3	22.4	2.4	33.3	134.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +56.9%

LAL -11.1%

LAL -19.4%

MEM +20.8%

MEM +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MEM	NBA	LAL	MEM	NBA
this game	16.2	16.2	15.5	106.7	111.4	105.7
season	15.9	15.5		108.8	106.1
opponent	15.5	15.5		103.7	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	17.6	15.0	18.1	14.4	16.2
MEM	15.9	15.0	18.8	15.6	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Blake	34	33	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.17	6	-8	14	15.7	16.5	-0.82	17.5	15.4	2.15
Matt Barnes	32	33	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-4	6	14.9	16.9	-2.04	17.1	15.6	1.42
Shannon Brown	30	30	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.16	3	-5	8	14.8	16.9	-2.08	17.9	15.3	2.62
Derrick Caracter	7	7	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	2	-6	16.3	16.2	0.10	12.1	16.5	-4.38
Kobe Bryant	70	67	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.35	1	-3	4	16.4	15.5	0.89	15.9	17.1	-1.21
Lamar Odom	76	73	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.38	1	-3	4	16.0	17.4	-1.38	16.1	16.7	-0.60
Pau Gasol	83	81	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.49	2	-4	6	16.2	16.3	-0.10	16.5	12.1	4.38
Derek Fisher	56	55	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.27	-8	6	-14	16.5	15.7	0.82	15.4	17.5	-2.15
Metta World Peace	62	61	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.33	-13	11	-24	17.6	13.1	4.47	15.3	18.2	-2.91

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gay	79	82	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.38	6	-4	10	16.0	17.6	-1.54	16.6	12.2	4.32
Mike Conley	65	67	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.40	2	0	2	15.6	17.8	-2.24	16.4	15.5	0.95
Marc Gasol	63	67	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.43	0	2	-2	16.8	14.5	2.31	16.0	16.7	-0.62
Zach Randolph	71	73	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.35	2	0	2	15.8	17.6	-1.83	16.7	14.1	2.55
Xavier Henry	46	48	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.11	8	-6	14	16.2	16.1	0.10	17.5	14.6	2.90
Sam Young	16	15	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	-2	6	16.4	16.1	0.25	17.8	15.9	1.93
O.J. Mayo	49	47	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.38	-7	9	-16	16.3	16.1	0.21	14.6	18.0	-3.42
Hasheem Thabeet	20	19	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	1	0	13.7	16.9	-3.13	15.7	16.3	-0.57
Greivis Vasquez	23	23	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	2	-2	17.8	15.6	2.24	15.5	16.4	-0.95
Tony Allen	8	9	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.03	-6	8	-14	20.5	15.7	4.76	9.6	16.9	-7.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.9,0.88,0.83,0.89,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.94,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 112, WAS 121	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.91,1	94.4%
DET 85, CHH 93	0.5,0.5,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.67,0.59,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.73,0.89,0.84,0.94,0.99,1	93.9%
ATL 92, MIA 99	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.59,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.99,1,1	93.9%