inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 112 Excitement6.8 [367] MVPJordan Crawford (WAS): +18.0%
Washington Wizards 121 Comeback1.9 [185] LVPErsan Ilyasova (MIL): -10.8%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brandon Jennings0.110,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.11,0.110.110.010.011957%0.1100.006100%0.04
Monta Ellis0.100,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.10.080.01-0.012560%0.193-0.092100%0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.01475%0.0400.0000%0.00
Mike Dunleavy0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.01-0.01667%0.032-0.0200%0.00
Drew Gooden0.010,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.010.04-0.020.011651%0.051-0.04978%-0.01
Jon Brockman0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Carlos Delfino-0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.00540%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Shaun Livingston-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00125%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
Beno Udrih-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Ekpe Udoh-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00520%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Ersan Ilyasova-0.110,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.04-0.060.01954%0.014-0.12887%0.02

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jordan Crawford0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.180.180.160.090.071770%0.273-0.091275%-0.01
Cartier Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.080.040.002117%0.1200.00250%-0.01
Nene0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.060.05-0.001256%0.1100.0010%-0.01
James Singleton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.050.060.00869%0.141-0.0300%0.00
Chris Singleton0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.090.000.05683%0.0500.0000%0.00
Jan Vesely0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.01-0.01667%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Kevin Seraphin0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.01-0.001254%0.071-0.032100%0.01
Morris Almond0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Brian Cook00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Maurice Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.010.00841%-0.0100.0010%-0.02
Shelvin Mack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
John Wall0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.09-0.020.001342%-0.014-0.10757%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.82.627.915.022.01.635.8129.7
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +58.0%
MIL -8.1%
WAS +1.3%
MIL -2.2%
WAS +0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILWASNBAMILWASNBA
this game13.415.215.6110.9121.0102.8
season14.615.0103.899.5
opponent15.715.6104.6103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL12.814.013.413.613.4
WAS14.416.015.415.215.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Beno Udrih12110.09-0.590.69-0.024-131715.513.22.3415.715.20.56
Jon Brockman21-0.08-0.420.34-0.05-1-878.013.5-5.5520.015.24.82
Luc Mbah a Moute2929-0.09-0.410.33-0.06-1-8714.113.20.9917.514.33.22
Shaun Livingston2119-0.10-0.400.30-0.01-3-6314.913.11.7918.314.53.74
Ekpe Udoh2625-0.12-0.380.25-0.06-2-7514.513.11.3816.914.72.20
Carlos Delfino3130-0.24-0.260.03-0.00-8-1-713.513.40.1614.215.7-1.42
Drew Gooden7374-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.15-5-4-113.214.0-0.7814.617.0-2.39
Ersan Ilyasova7070-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.13-7-2-513.313.7-0.4414.217.6-3.39
Mike Dunleavy7271-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.29-2-7513.213.9-0.6915.714.01.68
Brandon Jennings8082-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.20-7-2-512.915.6-2.7614.916.8-1.89
Monta Ellis8988-0.590.09-0.68-0.21-134-1713.314.2-0.8314.818.2-3.34

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
John Wall77750.400.100.310.1110-11114.816.6-1.7912.915.1-2.21
Jordan Crawford74750.390.110.290.1010-11114.716.7-2.0312.516.0-3.45
Jan Vesely56560.340.160.190.0890914.715.8-1.0913.713.10.55
Nene34360.260.240.020.1736-316.714.52.2415.012.62.43
Chris Singleton39390.230.27-0.040.0372513.216.5-3.2812.813.8-1.04
Morris Almond12130.170.33-0.16-0.0163313.815.4-1.5913.013.5-0.50
Kevin Seraphin61600.150.35-0.200.0636-315.215.20.0413.113.9-0.79
James Singleton44440.140.36-0.220.20-211-1315.814.71.0913.413.5-0.13
Maurice Evans48480.130.37-0.230.19-211-1315.714.80.9213.513.40.12
Cartier Martin31320.130.37-0.250.1018-717.014.42.5715.012.72.29
Shelvin Mack23260.100.40-0.310.13-110-1116.614.81.7915.112.92.21
Brian Cook110.050.45-0.390.0318-720.015.24.8210.013.5-3.47


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.91,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 96, MEM 980.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.9,0.88,0.83,0.89,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.94,0.99,194.4%
SAS 90, BOS 980.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.52,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.78,0.77,0.67,0.6,0.78,0.87,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.95,0.91,194.0%
ORL 84, UTA 990.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.44,0.51,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.81,0.78,0.72,0.8,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.76,0.91,0.86,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.89,0.99,1,193.6%