NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	89		Excitement	8.1 [226]		MVP	Jerome Allen (IND): +14.2%
Detroit Pistons	95		Comeback	3.0 [491]		LVP	Reggie Miller (IND): -28.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerome Allen	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.05	0.09	0.00	4	75%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Haywoode Workman	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	5	80%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	12	58%	0.10	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Derrick McKey	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05	-0.03	0.05	-0.02	6	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Jalen Rose	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.00	8	56%	0.10	1	-0.07	2	50%	-0.03
Brent Scott	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.09	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	9	58%	0.03	4	-0.12	6	67%	0.02
Reggie Williams	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	7	31%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Travis Best	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.2,-0.29	-0.08	-0.22	-0.01	15	46%	-0.15	3	-0.13	7	100%	0.04

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Dumars	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.01	15	67%	0.16	2	-0.06	10	100%	0.05
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.08	-0.01	13	53%	0.14	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,0.1	0.10	-0.05	0.15	-0.00	8	55%	0.15	3	-0.05	4	25%	-0.05
Grant Hill	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06	0.06	-0.04	0.10	0.00	18	58%	0.20	5	-0.14	7	71%	-0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Mahorn	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Terry Mills	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.06	-0.12	-0.00	4	43%	-0.14	1	-0.04	6	33%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.5	34.2	16.0	28.2	2.4	32.6	141.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +28.8%

DET +5.4%

DET +8.1%

DET +5.9%

DET +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DET	NBA	IND	DET	NBA
this game	13.9	17.5	15.6	96.7	104.4	104.4
season	15.3	17.1		103.6	107.6
opponent	16.2	16.3		102.0	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.8	12.3	17.0	13.0	13.9
DET	18.3	19.0	15.1	17.8	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Scott	24	23	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.09	5	-11	16	12.0	14.6	-2.63	19.5	16.9	2.64
Jerome Allen	14	15	-0.04	-0.47	0.43	-0.10	2	-8	10	14.5	13.8	0.65	17.3	17.6	-0.34
Antonio Davis	55	56	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.00	-3	-3	0	14.7	12.8	1.94	17.7	17.2	0.52
Haywoode Workman	27	28	-0.19	-0.32	0.13	-0.19	0	-6	6	10.9	15.2	-4.27	16.4	18.1	-1.72
Jalen Rose	45	45	-0.21	-0.30	0.09	-0.38	6	-12	18	12.8	15.0	-2.16	18.0	17.1	0.85
Reggie Williams	38	37	-0.27	-0.24	-0.03	-0.03	-8	2	-10	13.6	14.2	-0.62	16.4	18.4	-2.02
Travis Best	53	51	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	-10	4	-14	15.4	12.0	3.42	17.3	17.8	-0.49
Derrick McKey	56	55	-0.35	-0.16	-0.19	-0.17	-6	0	-6	14.1	13.7	0.41	17.6	17.5	0.13
Reggie Miller	78	76	-0.52	0.01	-0.53	-0.29	-8	2	-10	14.2	12.3	1.96	17.7	16.9	0.82
Dale Davis	70	69	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.40	-8	2	-10	14.4	12.5	1.90	17.6	17.4	0.25

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Dumars	73	75	0.85	-0.34	1.19	0.32	18	-12	30	17.2	18.9	-1.67	14.1	13.4	0.73
Lindsey Hunter	78	76	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.30	18	-12	30	17.3	19.1	-1.78	13.9	13.9	0.01
Otis Thorpe	50	52	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.26	6	0	6	17.2	18.0	-0.78	15.1	12.4	2.65
Stacey Augmon	52	53	0.33	0.18	0.15	0.39	-2	8	-10	18.2	16.7	1.46	13.2	15.0	-1.83
Grant Hill	79	79	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.23	3	3	0	17.5	18.0	-0.52	13.9	13.9	0.03
Rick Mahorn	28	27	0.15	0.36	-0.21	-0.03	6	0	6	17.9	17.4	0.44	13.7	14.0	-0.29
Terry Mills	28	28	0.10	0.41	-0.31	0.07	1	5	-4	18.7	17.0	1.68	12.9	14.4	-1.51
Grant Long	42	42	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	7	-8	18.0	17.2	0.75	14.9	13.1	1.76
Theo Ratliff	5	4	-0.08	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	10	-14	15.8	17.7	-1.85	11.7	14.0	-2.30
Michael Curry	20	24	-0.35	0.86	-1.21	0.09	-15	21	-36	16.8	17.8	-0.96	12.9	14.3	-1.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.67,0.77,0.59,0.59,0.28,0.64,0.72,0.9,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 108, BOS 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.18,0.26,0.27,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.74,0.82,0.71,0.81,0.64,0.53,0.4,0.39,0.64,0.86,0.85,1	90.3%
NJN 91, SAS 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.69,0.89,0.68,0.73,1	90.2%
MIA 95, DET 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.81,0.79,0.9,0.78,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.53,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.9,0.91,1	90.1%