NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	100		Excitement	5.0 [452]		MVP	Luke Kennard (ATL): +12.8%
Toronto Raptors	118		Comeback	1.0 [484]		LVP	Jalen Johnson (ATL): -13.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Kennard	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.04	0.00	5	91%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.02
Zaccharie Risacher	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.02	-0.01	11	73%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
V�t Krej?�	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	6	71%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mouhamed Gueye	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.06	13	61%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	14	44%	0.01	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Kristaps Porzi??is	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	12	32%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Dyson Daniels	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	13	37%	-0.03	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Jalen Johnson	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.17	-0.01	-0.04	15	38%	-0.03	6	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gradey Dick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.00	0.01	4	122%	0.13	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Collin Murray-Boyles	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.01	0.03	10	77%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sandro Mamukelashvili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	9	57%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Immanuel Quickley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	-0.01	11	62%	0.08	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Scottie Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.03	16	53%	0.12	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Shead	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Ingram	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.01	0.03	14	68%	0.09	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ja'Kobe Walter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ochai Agbaji	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
RJ Barrett	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	0.00	0.04	17	44%	-0.02	4	-0.10	5	20%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	0.0	35.4	0.0	28.2	0.0	27.6	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.4	29.6	2.3	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +41.8%

ATL -1.3%

TOR +4.3%

TOR +2.9%

TOR +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	TOR	NBA	ATL	TOR	NBA
this game	12.8	13.6	14.2	91.7	108.3	113.4
season	13.2	14.0		113.0	113.1
opponent	14.7	14.4		110.7	113.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	12.1	13.7	13.0	12.3	12.8
TOR	12.6	12.5	15.8	13.9	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mouhamed Gueye	30	31	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.06	-2	-16	14	13.5	12.5	1.08	14.9	13.1	1.73
Zaccharie Risacher	53	53	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.03	-10	-8	-2	12.4	13.1	-0.69	13.5	13.8	-0.28
Kristaps Porzi??is	76	74	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.06	-8	-10	2	12.7	12.8	-0.09	13.6	13.7	-0.04
Luke Kennard	84	82	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.03	-12	-6	-6	12.8	12.7	0.04	13.5	14.1	-0.59
V�t Krej?�	99	100	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.17	-10	-8	-2	12.6	14.0	-1.37	13.5	15.3	-1.85
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	109	109	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.03	-18	0	-18	12.8	0.0	12.75	13.6	0.0	13.63
Onyeka Okongwu	109	109	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.03	-18	0	-18	12.8	0.0	12.75	13.6	0.0	13.63
Jalen Johnson	93	95	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	0.18	-26	8	-34	13.0	11.4	1.54	13.8	12.6	1.14
Dyson Daniels	93	95	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	0.18	-26	8	-34	13.0	11.4	1.54	13.8	12.6	1.14

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Ingram	99	98	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.18	26	-8	34	13.6	14.1	-0.51	13.1	9.8	3.26
Scottie Barnes	106	107	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.09	22	-4	26	13.7	10.0	3.74	12.7	14.5	-1.78
Sandro Mamukelashvili	92	93	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.01	18	0	18	13.5	14.6	-1.13	12.9	11.9	0.95
Collin Murray-Boyles	93	91	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.14	23	-5	28	13.7	13.0	0.74	13.0	11.5	1.50
RJ Barrett	88	86	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.17	23	-5	28	13.6	14.0	-0.40	12.8	12.4	0.40
Jamal Shead	101	102	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.08	20	-2	22	13.7	13.2	0.41	12.8	12.1	0.65
Immanuel Quickley	87	85	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.09	13	5	8	13.5	14.2	-0.74	12.9	12.1	0.86
Gradey Dick	81	82	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.03	16	2	14	13.6	13.9	-0.30	12.9	12.4	0.41
Ja'Kobe Walter	71	73	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.18	3	15	-12	13.9	13.2	0.69	12.2	13.8	-1.57
Ochai Agbaji	19	18	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.07	9	9	0	13.6	13.6	-0.00	14.0	12.5	1.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.9,0.93,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 95, ATL 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
CHA 95, CHI 109	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.94,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
BOS 84, MIL 99	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%