NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	95		Excitement	4.6 [907]		MVP	Mark Williams (CHA): +10.5%
Chicago Bulls	109		Comeback	1.1 [1067]		LVP	Brandon Miller (CHA): -15.8%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Williams	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.00	0.02	7	83%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Tidjane Salaun	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	7	53%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Moussa Diabate	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
KJ Simpson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Green	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	11	37%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Seth Curry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Wong	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	9	41%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Cody Martin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	7	36%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Richards	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	4	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Miles Bridges	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.01	0.02	16	39%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Vasilije Micic	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.14	-0.00	-0.02	13	27%	-0.07	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Miller	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.02	0.02	21	48%	-0.01	7	-0.15	2	100%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.14	-0.00	0.04	12	79%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Julian Phillips	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	5	73%	0.07	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Lonzo Ball	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	5	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Josh Giddey	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	13	65%	0.09	5	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Smith	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	10	42%	0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Adama Sanogo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Talen Horton-Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.09	0.01	-0.07	11	48%	0.05	5	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Coby White	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	15	53%	-0.01	3	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Matas Buzelis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	11	21%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	7	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.6	26.8	14.7	26.4	2.4	29.6	126.8
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +27.3%

CHI +8.7%

CHI +0.4%

CHI +10.9%

CHI +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	CHI	NBA	CHA	CHI	NBA
this game	15.1	12.3	14.4	90.5	103.8	113.0
season	15.0	13.2		106.2	112.4
opponent	14.5	14.2		114.2	115.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	17.3	14.9	13.9	14.4	15.1
CHI	12.7	10.4	12.7	13.8	12.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taj Gibson	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-12	10	10.0	15.2	-5.18	18.5	12.2	6.28
Moussa Diabate	18	18	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.12	3	-17	20	13.5	15.4	-1.91	13.7	12.1	1.66
Miles Bridges	54	55	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	-13	12	15.5	14.7	0.78	12.2	12.5	-0.30
KJ Simpson	9	9	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-11	8	16.6	14.9	1.61	13.8	12.2	1.57
Seth Curry	10	10	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.06	-5	-9	4	16.0	15.0	1.01	13.3	12.2	1.06
Vasilije Micic	54	55	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-10	6	15.5	14.6	0.93	12.5	12.2	0.27
Cody Martin	54	54	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-11	8	15.0	15.2	-0.18	11.8	12.9	-1.13
Mark Williams	40	39	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.13	-12	-2	-10	15.6	14.8	0.79	12.3	12.4	-0.06
Josh Green	67	68	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.18	-3	-11	8	14.5	16.2	-1.68	12.7	11.6	1.16
Isaiah Wong	50	49	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.17	-4	-10	6	14.2	15.9	-1.65	12.2	12.5	-0.34
Tidjane Salaun	51	49	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	-2	-10	15.9	14.4	1.51	12.1	12.6	-0.49
Nick Richards	34	34	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	-3	-8	14.7	15.3	-0.56	12.1	12.4	-0.29
Brandon Miller	82	83	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.06	-13	-1	-12	15.3	14.5	0.78	12.0	13.6	-1.58

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach LaVine	77	75	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.01	17	-3	20	12.4	12.1	0.37	14.6	16.2	-1.56
Josh Giddey	65	66	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.01	15	-1	16	12.3	12.4	-0.13	15.2	15.0	0.18
Jalen Smith	63	63	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.02	14	0	14	12.4	12.2	0.21	15.1	15.0	0.06
Matas Buzelis	43	44	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	3	8	11.5	12.9	-1.37	15.3	15.0	0.32
Lonzo Ball	46	45	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	2	10	12.0	12.6	-0.53	14.4	15.6	-1.12
Talen Horton-Tucker	25	27	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.09	12	2	10	12.2	12.4	-0.24	16.1	14.7	1.33
Ayo Dosunmu	69	69	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	10	-6	12.2	12.5	-0.28	15.4	14.5	0.93
Coby White	68	70	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.17	-2	16	-18	12.6	11.9	0.61	15.4	14.4	1.07
Julian Phillips	20	20	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	14	-14	14.3	11.9	2.48	14.6	15.2	-0.54
Adama Sanogo	17	15	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.03	2	12	-10	13.4	12.1	1.28	15.9	14.9	0.99
Patrick Williams	32	31	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.33	-15	29	-44	11.6	12.7	-1.03	14.1	15.5	-1.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.94,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 64, IND 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
DAL 79, UTA 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.81,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.91,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
IND 95, ATL 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%