NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	95		Excitement	3.7 [1037]		MVP	Eldridge Recasner (ATL): +9.2%
Atlanta Hawks	107		Comeback	1.0 [1173]		LVP	Travis Best (IND): -8.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Duane Ferrell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	57%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Antonio Davis	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	0.00	0.05	13	63%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	43%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	7	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brent Scott	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	1	67%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	10	48%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Rik Smits	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	10	56%	0.02	4	-0.07	5	80%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	0.04	15	55%	-0.01	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Travis Best	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.12	-0.01	-0.04	13	35%	-0.08	2	-0.01	5	60%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.13	0.01	0.05	8	87%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	14	64%	0.07	1	-0.00	8	87%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.00	-0.04	9	64%	0.07	2	-0.02	10	80%	0.01
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	11	72%	0.10	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	16	58%	0.08	3	-0.05	4	100%	-0.00
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	10	55%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ivano Newbill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Priest Lauderdale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrin Hancock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Henry James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.5	27.5	17.4	27.3	2.8	31.3	133.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +37.2%

ATL +0.4%

ATL +2.3%

ATL +8.1%

ATL +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ATL	NBA	IND	ATL	NBA
this game	16.6	16.9	15.6	110.5	124.4	104.4
season	15.3	16.4		103.6	105.3
opponent	16.0	16.3		100.3	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.8	17.4	17.9	15.3	16.6
ATL	15.5	17.8	16.4	18.1	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Scott	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-15	18	8.2	17.0	-8.74	13.0	17.1	-4.15
Duane Ferrell	40	39	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.31	8	-20	28	14.3	18.6	-4.27	17.3	16.6	0.69
Erick Dampier	16	17	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.15	1	-13	14	17.5	16.4	1.13	19.2	16.3	2.90
Rik Smits	62	61	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	-11	10	16.8	16.0	0.86	17.4	15.6	1.79
Travis Best	54	54	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.23	0	-12	12	15.3	18.7	-3.35	16.3	17.9	-1.59
Jalen Rose	12	14	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.00	-8	-4	-4	16.5	16.6	-0.09	16.6	17.0	-0.32
Antonio Davis	69	68	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	1	-14	16.6	16.4	0.28	16.1	19.9	-3.84
Mark Jackson	53	53	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	2	-16	18.2	14.0	4.19	18.3	14.7	3.59
Reggie Miller	73	71	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.04	-15	3	-18	16.7	15.7	1.05	16.2	20.4	-4.23
Dale Davis	47	48	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.10	-21	9	-30	17.9	15.0	2.94	17.0	16.8	0.16

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mookie Blaylock	77	77	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.13	12	0	12	17.2	14.0	3.25	16.6	16.4	0.15
Dikembe Mutombo	75	75	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.08	10	2	8	17.4	13.8	3.54	17.1	12.7	4.42
Christian Laettner	57	61	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.06	9	3	6	16.8	17.1	-0.35	16.7	16.3	0.37
Eldridge Recasner	40	38	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.09	7	5	2	17.6	16.3	1.34	17.1	16.1	0.99
Steven Smith	68	70	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.00	10	2	8	16.9	16.9	0.02	16.6	16.6	-0.05
Ivano Newbill	30	29	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.16	4	8	-4	18.0	16.3	1.73	15.8	17.0	-1.19
Henry James	15	13	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.14	13	-1	14	13.9	17.5	-3.68	18.5	16.2	2.21
Tyrone Corbin	53	53	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.13	3	9	-6	17.1	16.6	0.49	17.2	15.7	1.48
Jon Barry	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	13	-14	7.7	17.2	-9.57	7.5	16.8	-9.30
Priest Lauderdale	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	13	-14	7.7	17.2	-9.57	7.5	16.8	-9.30
Darrin Hancock	9	10	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.17	-6	18	-24	14.1	17.2	-3.12	10.0	17.4	-7.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 89, NJN 102	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
CHH 79, CHI 110	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.83,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.83,0.76,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
ORL 96, POR 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.86,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1	96.0%