NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	96		Excitement	3.7 [1040]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): +11.5%
Portland Trail Blazers	106		Comeback	1.0 [1209]		LVP	John Amaechi (ORL): -9.2%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	25	64%	0.14	4	-0.05	11	91%	0.02
Troy Hudson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	64%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.00
Don Reid	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	75%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.01	12	61%	0.04	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.02
Pat Garrity	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Michael Doleac	-0.09	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	-0.03	11	18%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	0.01	10	38%	-0.07	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.03

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.00	-0.04	11	79%	0.13	3	-0.01	6	67%	-0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.02	14	60%	0.09	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	68%	0.07	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	62%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	9	55%	0.05	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	11	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	9	52%	-0.01	3	-0.03	7	100%	0.02
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	0.00	-0.04	6	33%	-0.01	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.2	2.5	27.3	15.7	24.0	2.6	36.7	139.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +32.2%

POR +2.8%

POR +15.4%

ORL -4.9%

POR +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	POR	NBA	ORL	POR	NBA
this game	13.6	16.7	15.5	101.1	111.6	100.9
season	14.6	15.8		101.6	103.9
opponent	15.8	15.8		100.3	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.8	15.2	12.3	12.2	13.6
POR	13.5	16.9	18.4	18.3	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Don Reid	14	15	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-10	10	10.4	14.2	-3.83	13.7	17.2	-3.52
Andrew DeClercq	27	26	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-14	18	12.7	14.0	-1.28	19.4	15.7	3.76
Troy Hudson	17	17	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.04	-1	-9	8	13.6	13.6	-0.04	20.3	15.9	4.38
Mike Miller	23	25	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.11	1	-11	12	12.4	14.0	-1.62	15.2	17.2	-2.08
Pat Garrity	37	36	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-9	8	12.3	14.4	-2.12	16.0	17.1	-1.16
Monty Williams	14	13	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.05	-6	-4	-2	15.1	13.4	1.70	18.5	16.4	2.05
John Amaechi	54	54	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	1	-12	14.5	12.4	2.12	16.9	16.4	0.54
Bo Outlaw	66	65	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.20	-6	-4	-2	13.9	12.9	1.04	17.1	15.9	1.21
Darrell Armstrong	78	78	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.17	-9	-1	-8	13.6	13.6	0.04	15.9	20.3	-4.38
Michael Doleac	55	56	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.03	-14	4	-18	14.8	12.0	2.80	16.2	17.4	-1.26
Tracy McGrady	90	90	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.24	-7	-3	-4	13.5	15.4	-1.88	16.8	15.4	1.37

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Pippen	59	60	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.02	15	-5	20	16.4	17.2	-0.89	14.2	12.6	1.66
Arvydas Sabonis	47	48	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.08	17	-7	24	16.7	16.7	-0.07	15.5	11.7	3.76
Rasheed Wallace	75	73	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.21	6	4	2	16.1	19.0	-2.92	13.9	12.5	1.40
Bonzi Wells	40	40	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.20	2	8	-6	17.5	16.1	1.43	14.2	13.2	1.00
Damon Stoudamire	74	73	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.25	0	10	-10	16.7	16.8	-0.09	12.8	16.3	-3.51
Steven Smith	65	64	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.13	4	6	-2	16.4	17.4	-0.98	12.5	15.9	-3.44
Greg Anthony	21	22	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.05	10	0	10	16.8	16.7	0.09	16.3	12.8	3.51
Stacey Augmon	13	13	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.03	5	5	0	15.0	17.0	-1.96	14.6	13.5	1.15
Shawn Kemp	37	38	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.20	-4	14	-18	17.5	16.2	1.25	12.4	14.4	-1.96
Dale Davis	44	44	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.22	-5	15	-20	17.8	15.7	2.05	12.0	15.0	-2.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.86,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 94, BOS 112	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
ATL 68, IND 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
LAC 80, PHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%