NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	94		Excitement	2.7 [1219]		MVP	Eddie House (BOS): +10.1%
Boston Celtics	112		Comeback	1.0 [1016]		LVP	Dwight Howard (ORL): -12.0%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.14	0.00	0.05	8	88%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Richardson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.00	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.04	8	64%	0.01	2	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Tony Battie	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	62%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Mickael Pietrus	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.05	0.00	0.09	7	61%	-0.04	1	-0.00	14	79%	-0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.01	-0.00	0.08	15	50%	-0.04	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Rafer Alston	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	11	29%	-0.07	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Dwight Howard	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.17	-0.01	-0.06	13	35%	-0.06	5	-0.06	8	25%	-0.05

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.25	0.00	0.15	14	91%	0.11	2	-0.01	6	83%	-0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	10	70%	0.09	2	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	5	81%	0.09	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.00	0.04	15	61%	0.06	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	4	100%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tony Allen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Henry Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gabe Pruitt	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	7	14%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	0.00	-0.04	19	37%	-0.06	3	-0.02	2	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	3.6	33.6	19.6	30.7	3.0	36.0	153.2
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +30.7%

BOS +7.8%

BOS +5.0%

BOS +5.7%

BOS +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	BOS	NBA	ORL	BOS	NBA
this game	14.9	16.1	15.5	102.2	119.1	106.4
season	15.3	15.8		107.3	108.3
opponent	15.6	15.8		101.7	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.9	14.5	15.7	13.4	14.9
BOS	15.4	14.9	15.0	19.4	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Richardson	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-19	20	13.8	14.9	-1.12	15.4	16.1	-0.73
Tony Battie	19	20	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.13	4	-22	26	13.2	15.3	-2.08	16.9	15.9	1.09
Marcin Gortat	13	13	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-16	14	15.1	14.8	0.25	14.7	16.3	-1.63
Anthony Johnson	35	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-15	12	14.3	15.2	-0.83	16.8	15.7	1.15
Mickael Pietrus	70	70	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.19	1	-19	20	14.9	14.8	0.05	16.4	15.1	1.30
JJ Redick	43	46	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	-9	0	15.0	14.7	0.27	18.2	14.1	4.03
Rafer Alston	57	58	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.10	-15	-3	-12	15.2	14.3	0.83	15.7	16.8	-1.15
Dwight Howard	70	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.13	-20	2	-22	15.2	13.8	1.37	15.4	18.2	-2.78
Rashard Lewis	78	79	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.06	-19	1	-20	14.7	15.6	-0.84	16.9	11.7	5.19
Hedo Turkoglu	70	71	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.29	-28	10	-38	15.1	14.2	0.83	14.2	21.8	-7.59

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rajon Rondo	76	77	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.22	25	-7	32	15.4	18.8	-3.39	15.2	13.2	1.98
Ray Allen	81	79	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.17	19	-1	20	16.1	16.2	-0.07	14.9	14.8	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	58	58	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.08	10	8	2	16.7	15.2	1.46	15.3	14.1	1.22
Brian Scalabrine	68	66	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.04	11	7	4	16.0	16.3	-0.24	14.7	15.4	-0.73
Eddie House	53	53	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.09	9	9	0	16.5	15.5	0.99	14.7	15.1	-0.38
Glen Davis	54	54	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.29	19	-1	20	15.9	16.3	-0.40	14.6	15.2	-0.60
Paul Pierce	30	31	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.15	12	6	6	16.1	16.1	-0.04	14.3	15.2	-0.91
Stephon Marbury	33	30	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.21	-5	23	-28	17.9	15.1	2.84	14.9	14.8	0.06
Mikki Moore	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	20	-22	13.7	16.2	-2.45	15.0	14.9	0.15
Henry Walker	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	20	-22	13.7	16.2	-2.45	15.0	14.9	0.15
Gabe Pruitt	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	20	-22	13.7	16.2	-2.45	15.0	14.9	0.15
Tony Allen	5	3	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.10	-4	22	-26	11.4	16.4	-4.96	15.0	14.9	0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 68, IND 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
ORL 96, POR 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.86,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1	97.1%
SAS 90, GSW 120	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%