NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	79		Excitement	3.3 [1091]		MVP	Michael Jordan (CHI): +15.5%
Chicago Bulls	110		Comeback	1.0 [845]		LVP	Glen Rice (CHH): -16.6%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Mason	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	6	62%	0.05	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Travis Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	5	80%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Farmer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donald Royal	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Reid	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.02	13	54%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
B.J. Armstrong	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	18	45%	0.04	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Matt Geiger	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	10	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.02
Corey Beck	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.14	-0.00	-0.05	8	25%	-0.01	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.22	-0.01	-0.06	18	26%	-0.11	4	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Jordan	0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.15	0.01	0.01	23	66%	0.17	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	64%	0.03	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Joe Kleine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.02	8	56%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rusty LaRue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.10	0.00	0.10	4	112%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.01	-0.06	17	38%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Jason Caffey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.01	-0.03	10	40%	0.01	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	28.2	14.8	24.0	1.8	21.3	116.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +23.4%

CHI +5.6%

CHI +1.4%

CHI +18.3%

CHI +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	CHI	NBA	CHH	CHI	NBA
this game	16.6	14.4	15.6	85.9	117.0	102.5
season	15.7	16.2		104.0	105.8
opponent	15.8	15.9		97.9	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	15.6	16.0	16.9	17.8	16.6
CHI	15.0	15.3	14.4	12.9	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Williams	33	34	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.24	-8	-23	15	18.2	15.7	2.47	13.7	14.8	-1.08
Tony Farmer	11	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-27	23	11.1	17.3	-6.22	10.4	15.0	-4.60
B.J. Armstrong	20	20	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.29	-10	-21	11	16.0	16.7	-0.66	12.9	14.8	-1.87
Donald Royal	23	24	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	-27	23	12.7	17.9	-5.16	12.2	15.2	-2.92
J.R. Reid	51	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.14	-13	-18	5	17.0	16.0	1.02	14.3	14.5	-0.20
Matt Geiger	61	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.25	-20	-11	-9	18.0	13.8	4.11	15.5	12.4	3.13
Anthony Mason	67	67	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.27	-23	-8	-15	16.7	16.3	0.34	14.9	13.3	1.53
Corey Beck	55	56	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.19	-21	-10	-11	17.6	15.0	2.57	15.0	13.6	1.33
David Wesley	67	69	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.13	-22	-9	-13	16.6	16.4	0.23	14.9	13.2	1.67
Glen Rice	72	74	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.36	-30	-1	-29	15.6	19.9	-4.32	14.4	14.4	0.03

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Caffey	59	58	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.10	19	12	7	14.9	13.5	1.41	17.8	14.5	3.23
Scottie Pippen	66	64	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.14	20	11	9	14.8	13.5	1.32	17.1	15.4	1.74
Michael Jordan	60	60	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.10	18	13	5	14.5	14.2	0.34	16.3	17.1	-0.76
Luc Longley	64	62	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.20	21	10	11	15.0	13.1	1.90	17.5	14.6	2.97
Ron Harper	49	49	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.00	11	20	-9	15.0	13.8	1.16	16.0	17.2	-1.12
Randy Brown	43	41	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.28	18	13	5	15.6	13.5	2.13	18.3	15.1	3.20
Toni Kukoc	50	50	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.31	15	16	-1	14.4	14.5	-0.05	17.4	15.6	1.74
Joe Kleine	25	24	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.20	8	23	-15	12.8	15.0	-2.21	13.6	17.6	-3.98
Scott Burrell	21	20	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.36	13	18	-5	11.8	15.2	-3.43	15.3	16.9	-1.55
Jud Buechler	21	21	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.22	8	23	-15	12.8	14.9	-2.08	12.8	17.7	-4.87
Rusty LaRue	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	27	-23	10.4	15.0	-4.60	11.1	17.3	-6.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.83,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.83,0.76,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 86, SAS 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.64,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
MEM 100, DAL 111	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.77,0.84,0.9,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
ORL 83, TOR 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.76,0.89,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%