NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	100		Excitement	3.5 [1066]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +14.6%
Dallas Mavericks	111		Comeback	1.0 [1252]		LVP	Jason Williams (MEM): -8.5%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.00	0.03	15	64%	0.07	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Stromile Swift	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	15	59%	0.04	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	10	61%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Antonis Fotsis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Gill	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	2	73%	-0.01	0	0.00	7	86%	-0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Shane Battier	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	-0.05	10	46%	0.01	4	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Grant Long	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	10	27%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jason Williams	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	11	36%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.15	0.00	0.01	12	92%	0.21	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Wang Zhi-zhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.19	0.00	0.09	9	100%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	64%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	9	62%	0.05	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	8	56%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	7	65%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	7	29%	-0.04	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	7	39%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	5	33%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.5	26.7	15.7	27.6	2.5	27.2	126.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +38.5%

DAL +6.9%

MEM -4.7%

DAL +3.5%

DAL +5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	DAL	NBA	MEM	DAL	NBA
this game	16.8	14.5	15.6	107.5	122.0	102.3
season	15.7	14.8		96.0	109.6
opponent	15.5	15.2		105.8	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	20.8	14.6	15.0	17.6	16.8
DAL	12.5	13.6	13.2	19.2	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonis Fotsis	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-21	31	11.7	17.4	-5.69	19.3	13.9	5.39
Lorenzen Wright	36	37	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.29	5	-16	21	16.3	17.1	-0.86	17.1	12.7	4.35
Eddie Gill	34	35	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.19	0	-11	11	17.0	16.7	0.31	16.4	13.2	3.18
Stromile Swift	58	56	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.19	-1	-10	9	15.8	18.5	-2.65	14.7	14.1	0.68
Rodney Buford	46	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.04	-9	-2	-7	16.8	16.8	0.08	13.9	15.0	-1.15
Tony Massenburg	32	32	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	-1	-9	18.1	16.1	1.96	13.3	15.1	-1.79
Grant Long	42	41	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.16	-15	4	-19	18.5	15.5	3.00	14.4	14.5	-0.06
Jason Williams	59	56	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	0	-11	16.7	17.0	-0.31	13.2	16.4	-3.18
Pau Gasol	71	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.25	-5	-6	1	16.9	16.5	0.46	14.2	15.2	-1.00
Shane Battier	78	75	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.06	-19	8	-27	16.8	16.6	0.25	13.5	19.0	-5.49

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Buckner	47	47	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.13	8	3	5	15.6	13.3	2.28	16.0	17.6	-1.54
Eduardo Najera	64	63	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.20	5	6	-1	14.9	13.5	1.41	15.7	19.2	-3.58
Raef LaFrentz	45	48	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.16	5	6	-1	14.0	15.0	-0.98	15.6	18.1	-2.44
Michael Finley	62	64	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.05	12	-1	13	13.6	16.3	-2.65	17.4	15.5	1.92
Dirk Nowitzki	44	46	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.01	10	1	9	13.2	15.6	-2.37	18.2	15.4	2.75
Avery Johnson	40	39	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.17	4	7	-3	15.6	13.5	2.10	15.8	17.5	-1.70
Wang Zhi-zhi	44	44	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.03	6	5	1	15.2	13.8	1.37	17.4	16.3	1.14
Steve Nash	38	41	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.05	8	3	5	13.2	15.4	-2.26	18.2	15.7	2.57
Nick Van Exel	13	13	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	12	-13	14.7	14.4	0.26	15.2	17.1	-1.83
Shawn Bradley	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.24	-8	19	-27	19.2	13.7	5.55	16.3	16.9	-0.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.77,0.84,0.9,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 73, DET 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.88,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
DET 87, POR 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.86,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	96.4%
WAS 79, NYK 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.94,0.92,0.86,0.89,0.83,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%