NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Bullets	79		Excitement	3.0 [1147]		MVP	Patrick Ewing (NYK): +4.3%
New York Knicks	95		Comeback	1.0 [1004]		LVP	Rod Strickland (WAS): -10.0%

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	12	59%	0.06	4	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
Chris Whitney	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Ashraf Amaya	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gheorghe Muresan	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Calbert Cheaney	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	6	56%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Tracy Murray	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0.03	3	67%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Harvey Grant	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	11	46%	-0.02	4	-0.08	6	50%	-0.03
Rod Strickland	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.15	-0.00	-0.06	10	33%	-0.04	4	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Ewing	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.05	0.02	-0.07	22	48%	0.08	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	12	62%	0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Buck Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	13	52%	0.04	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	9	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.06	16	44%	0.04	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Brooks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	7	21%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	27.2	15.7	24.3	2.5	28.3	124.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +25.9%

NYK +2.6%

NYK +8.3%

NYK +12.2%

NYK +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	NYK	NBA	WAS	NYK	NBA
this game	14.5	16.3	15.6	84.0	102.2	104.4
season	14.8	15.1		104.3	102.0
opponent	16.1	15.8		98.8	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.4	14.4	15.3	13.8	14.5
NYK	17.5	15.0	14.7	18.1	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ashraf Amaya	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-18	20	13.0	14.5	-1.51	17.0	16.3	0.69
Ben Wallace	6	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-14	12	12.7	14.6	-1.94	16.8	16.3	0.53
Jaren Jackson	19	21	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-13	10	15.6	14.2	1.44	16.6	16.3	0.31
Chris Whitney	27	27	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.17	1	-17	18	15.6	14.0	1.51	18.1	15.6	2.45
Gheorghe Muresan	58	56	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.24	3	-19	22	14.5	14.4	0.10	16.3	16.4	-0.12
Tracy Murray	36	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.16	0	-16	16	14.6	14.4	0.12	17.6	15.5	2.04
Harvey Grant	27	28	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.21	-16	0	-16	13.9	14.7	-0.83	15.2	16.8	-1.60
Rod Strickland	73	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.00	-11	-5	-6	13.8	16.7	-2.82	16.1	17.1	-1.05
Calbert Cheaney	61	59	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.13	-18	2	-20	14.7	14.0	0.69	15.8	17.3	-1.47
Chris Webber	79	78	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.05	-17	1	-18	14.4	14.7	-0.22	16.3	16.4	-0.08
Juwan Howard	82	80	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.09	-19	3	-22	14.6	13.8	0.74	16.1	17.7	-1.58

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allan Houston	71	74	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.24	24	-8	32	15.4	19.4	-3.97	14.3	15.0	-0.66
Charles Oakley	66	68	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.11	18	-2	20	15.9	17.4	-1.57	14.9	13.5	1.41
Buck Williams	55	53	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.06	16	0	16	17.0	15.4	1.59	14.6	14.3	0.24
Larry Johnson	75	74	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.04	14	2	12	16.0	17.6	-1.52	14.2	15.4	-1.23
Chris Childs	72	72	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.16	7	9	-2	17.0	14.0	2.95	14.5	14.5	-0.09
Patrick Ewing	59	63	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	12	-8	15.7	17.4	-1.61	14.0	15.4	-1.31
Charlie Ward	40	40	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	13	-10	16.7	16.0	0.73	14.8	14.2	0.65
John Wallace	21	22	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.19	-2	18	-20	18.7	15.7	3.01	15.3	14.2	1.04
Walter McCarty	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	17.0	16.3	0.69	13.0	14.5	-1.51
Scott Brooks	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	17.0	16.3	0.69	13.0	14.5	-1.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.94,0.92,0.86,0.89,0.83,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 92, IND 117	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
MEM 88, SAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.93,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
MEM 100, DAL 111	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.77,0.84,0.9,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%