NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	112		Excitement	7.0 [266]		MVP	Nickeil Alexander-Walker (ATL): +41.9%
Atlanta Hawks	110		Comeback	1.4 [309]		LVP	V�t Krej?� (ATL): -8.9%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Portis	0.42	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.42	0.11	0.30	-0.01	15	63%	0.42	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
AJ Green	0.31	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.31,0.31	0.11	0.23	0.02	12	75%	0.35	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13	-0.02	0.11	-0.03	9	45%	0.14	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Myles Turner	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	10	70%	0.08	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pete Nance	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Harris	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.02	12	58%	0.06	3	-0.05	12	58%	-0.02
Ryan Rollins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.02	12	54%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.05
Kevin Porter Jr.	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.07	-0.01	5	60%	-0.01	3	-0.05	5	100%	0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.3,0.3,0.42	0.42	0.23	0.23	0.04	20	68%	0.42	0	0.00	7	100%	0.05
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.03	0.02	11	61%	0.10	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.05
Jalen Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.17,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.03	24	52%	0.18	2	-0.15	6	50%	-0.17
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dyson Daniels	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	16	52%	0.04	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Asa Newell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mouhamed Gueye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corey Kispert	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	6	25%	-0.06	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
V�t Krej?�	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	6	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.3	32.1	0.0	28.6	0.0	39.9	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.4	29.6	2.3	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +56.6%

ATL -1.6%

ATL -18.0%

MIL +11.4%

MIL +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	ATL	NBA	MIL	ATL	NBA
this game	13.4	14.4	14.2	106.7	107.8	113.4
season	14.5	13.2		111.7	113.0
opponent	14.4	14.3		113.3	116.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.8	12.6	15.0	12.3	13.4
ATL	14.8	15.7	12.1	15.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Giannis Antetokounmpo	86	83	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.36	10	-8	18	13.1	14.8	-1.66	14.3	14.9	-0.64
Ryan Rollins	88	86	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.35	9	-7	16	13.4	13.7	-0.33	14.3	14.9	-0.67
Kyle Kuzma	96	95	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.43	3	-1	4	13.6	11.8	1.81	14.5	12.1	2.39
Kevin Porter Jr.	94	92	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.41	2	0	2	13.4	13.4	0.07	14.7	11.4	3.30
Bobby Portis	91	88	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.40	2	0	2	13.5	12.9	0.58	14.6	13.0	1.59
Myles Turner	83	81	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.18	9	-7	16	13.9	11.7	2.21	14.5	14.0	0.47
AJ Green	100	99	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.34	2	0	2	13.9	4.4	9.48	14.5	11.0	3.47
Gary Harris	76	73	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.12	9	-7	16	13.7	12.7	0.97	14.7	13.6	1.15
Pete Nance	69	68	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.05	11	-9	20	13.7	12.9	0.78	14.8	13.4	1.40

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mouhamed Gueye	59	60	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.02	-7	5	-12	14.3	14.5	-0.24	13.8	12.9	0.87
Dyson Daniels	90	93	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.34	1	-3	4	14.1	16.7	-2.60	13.9	9.8	4.06
V�t Krej?�	70	72	-0.39	-0.12	-0.27	-0.06	-11	9	-20	14.9	13.3	1.54	13.6	13.0	0.58
Corey Kispert	74	76	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.18	-8	6	-14	14.5	14.1	0.42	13.1	14.4	-1.36
Jalen Johnson	98	101	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.47	0	-2	2	13.9	26.7	-12.88	13.6	9.7	3.82
Luke Kennard	21	23	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.06	-19	17	-36	17.8	13.5	4.33	11.8	13.9	-2.11
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	102	105	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	0	-2	14.4	0.0	14.37	13.4	0.0	13.43
Asa Newell	48	50	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.05	-16	14	-30	15.0	13.8	1.22	13.6	13.3	0.37
CJ McCollum	101	104	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.45	-5	3	-8	14.4	9.0	5.43	13.5	1.0	12.55
Onyeka Okongwu	90	92	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.31	-11	9	-20	14.7	12.2	2.50	13.1	15.5	-2.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.09,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.45,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 104, LAL 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.19,0.33,0.14,0.15,0.33,0.72,0	92.1%
TOR 81, NJN 80	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.15,0.17,0.11,0.2,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.42,0	91.7%
GSW 116, ATL 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.29,0.17,0.18,0.26,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.28,0.24,0.27,0	91.0%