NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	116		Excitement	6.4 [509]		MVP	Gilbert Arenas (GSW): +30.9%
Atlanta Hawks	113		Comeback	1.7 [433]		LVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (ATL): -37.9%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.31	0.12	0.21	0.02	19	82%	0.55	7	-0.24	7	86%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.06	0.00	8	73%	0.15	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	0.04	0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04	-0.08	0.08	-0.04	14	44%	0.07	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.03	-0.02	8	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Erick Dampier	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	44%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Bob Sura	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	-0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.11	0.05	-0.15	0.02	17	60%	-0.06	2	-0.05	6	83%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.2	0.20	0.07	0.14	0.01	23	55%	0.20	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.08	0.01	8	89%	0.21	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.13	0.01	0.09	15	78%	0.11	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	86%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Corey Benjamin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.01	6	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jermaine Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	7	47%	0.00	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.00	-0.00	6	14%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.08,-0.38	-0.38	-0.07	-0.31	-0.00	17	44%	-0.11	3	-0.27	2	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.7	26.5	15.0	20.6	1.8	30.4	122.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +37.7%

GSW +0.8%

ATL -8.9%

GSW +18.1%

GSW +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	ATL	NBA	GSW	ATL	NBA
this game	13.6	13.1	15.5	106.4	105.6	101.6
season	14.6	15.1		105.3	99.5
opponent	15.7	15.1		103.1	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	11.9	13.7	14.2	14.7	13.6
ATL	13.9	13.0	13.0	12.4	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adonal Foyle	43	41	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.28	7	-4	11	13.5	13.7	-0.20	12.3	13.6	-1.27
Gilbert Arenas	78	77	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.25	8	-5	13	13.2	14.5	-1.25	12.9	13.4	-0.45
Troy Murphy	84	81	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.28	7	-4	11	13.3	14.4	-1.11	13.1	12.8	0.30
Antawn Jamison	89	88	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.41	-2	5	-7	12.9	16.5	-3.57	13.2	12.6	0.54
Jason Richardson	73	73	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.34	-1	4	-5	13.3	14.2	-0.91	12.9	13.4	-0.49
Bob Sura	36	34	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	-1	5	14.2	13.3	0.91	13.4	12.9	0.49
Earl Boykins	31	31	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.15	-2	5	-7	14.5	13.2	1.25	13.0	13.1	-0.15
Erick Dampier	55	53	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.12	-2	5	-7	13.0	14.2	-1.22	13.7	12.5	1.24
Chris Mills	13	13	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	2	-1	15.5	13.3	2.22	12.5	13.2	-0.70
Mike Dunleavy	43	44	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.13	-5	8	-13	15.7	12.2	3.56	13.2	13.0	0.22

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Theo Ratliff	86	86	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.30	11	-14	25	12.9	13.8	-0.91	14.5	10.0	4.49
Darvin Ham	24	25	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.25	9	-12	21	12.2	13.3	-1.06	14.8	13.2	1.52
Ira Newble	9	10	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.05	0	-3	3	12.6	13.1	-0.57	13.7	13.6	0.12
Jason Terry	50	50	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.04	-2	-1	-1	13.1	13.0	0.08	14.1	13.1	0.98
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	83	85	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.43	9	-12	21	12.9	13.8	-0.92	14.0	12.2	1.77
Jermaine Jackson	14	13	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.09	-11	8	-19	14.7	12.8	1.89	13.2	13.6	-0.49
Dan Dickau	52	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.43	6	-9	15	12.7	13.4	-0.67	13.4	13.8	-0.47
Nazr Mohammed	10	11	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.11	-13	10	-23	16.7	12.7	4.00	8.3	14.2	-5.91
Dion Glover	89	92	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.45	6	-9	15	12.4	16.2	-3.72	13.7	12.9	0.84
Corey Benjamin	14	12	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.09	-13	10	-23	15.6	12.7	2.95	11.4	13.9	-2.44
Glenn Robinson	80	81	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.23	-7	4	-11	13.2	12.6	0.64	13.3	14.4	-1.13
Alan Henderson	24	26	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.17	-10	7	-17	13.9	12.8	1.09	11.4	14.3	-2.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.29,0.17,0.18,0.26,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.28,0.24,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 102, CLE 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.17,0.11,0.17,0.2,0.37,0.06,0.05,0	92.8%
HOU 97, GSW 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.3,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.14,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.31,0.27,0	92.8%
DEN 105, OKC 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.18,0.21,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.06,0,0	92.4%