inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 81 Excitement6.9 [421] MVPKerry Kittles (NJN): +28.0%
New Jersey Nets 80 Comeback1.5 [400] LVPMilt Palacio (TOR): -23.7%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vince Carter0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.24,-0.24,0.11-0.090.17-0.022044%0.142-0.03875%0.00
Morris Peterson0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.060.08-0.020.00781%0.071-0.02250%0.02
Lamond Murray0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.010.02-0.021250%0.072-0.0400%0.00
Alvin Williams0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.01367%0.021-0.0100%0.00
Jerome Williams0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.01560%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Michael Curry-0.000,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.01-0.00-0.00540%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Bosh-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.070.02-0.080.01669%-0.051-0.02450%-0.02
Antonio Davis-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.04-0.01550%-0.003-0.092100%0.01
Milt Palacio-0.240,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24-0.14-0.12-0.02920%-0.192-0.052100%0.01

New Jersey Nets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kerry Kittles0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.280.280.000.27-0.011146%0.2800.002100%0.01
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.090.010.02971%0.0700.003100%0.01
Jason Collins0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01450%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Brian Scalabrine0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Robert Pack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.000.01650%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Brandon Armstrong0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.050.00-0.0120%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Aaron Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.020.00250%0.002-0.0600%0.00
Zoran Planinic0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.00340%-0.041-0.01450%-0.02
Rodney Rogers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.10-0.00-0.0250%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Richard Jefferson0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.04-0.060.01760%-0.053-0.06667%-0.08
Kenyon Martin0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.08,-0.03,-0.12-0.120.09-0.190.021965%-0.012-0.112100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game301.12.426.215.526.20.135.2406.8
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NJN -18.6%
TOR +55.8%
TOR +2.8%
TOR +22.0%
NJN -12.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORNJNNBATORNJNNBA
this game19.016.615.7101.297.6100.5
season16.815.394.898.1
opponent16.215.795.298.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR18.614.419.924.119.0
NJN16.618.416.914.316.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Vince Carter68700.61-0.110.720.446-51119.018.70.2616.914.91.98
Milt Palacio58590.500.000.500.4710119.118.60.4716.018.1-2.11
Chris Bosh54550.350.150.200.47-45-919.118.80.3015.718.4-2.62
Jerome Williams44470.340.160.18-0.0413-122518.219.9-1.7617.215.81.46
Antonio Davis62620.310.190.130.52-78-1519.517.32.1216.915.71.20
Morris Peterson32340.270.230.030.33-23-519.218.80.4116.316.9-0.59
Lamond Murray31320.060.44-0.380.0310117.320.0-2.7515.417.4-1.92
Michael Curry29280.010.49-0.470.10-34-720.418.22.2617.616.11.57
Alvin Williams22230.000.50-0.500.0001-118.619.1-0.4718.116.02.11

New Jersey Nets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brian Scalabrine1110-0.10-0.400.290.01-43-716.316.7-0.3916.419.3-2.94
Jason Collins4037-0.12-0.380.26-0.03-32-517.615.71.9321.017.23.82
Aaron Williams1212-0.14-0.360.23-0.02-43-717.116.50.5515.919.5-3.60
Rodney Rogers2423-0.15-0.350.19-0.07-32-516.116.8-0.7417.319.7-2.41
Brandon Armstrong109-0.18-0.320.140.08-98-1715.316.8-1.4914.219.6-5.36
Alonzo Mourning3031-0.19-0.310.11-0.376-71315.117.5-2.3817.719.8-2.07
Zoran Planinic3737-0.22-0.280.07-0.01-76-1318.914.74.1617.620.1-2.47
Robert Pack4543-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.466-71314.718.9-4.1620.117.62.47
Kerry Kittles7271-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.558-91716.815.31.4919.614.25.36
Kenyon Martin6766-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.506-71316.915.21.7319.217.91.35
Richard Jefferson6261-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.44-10-116.516.8-0.3219.816.43.42


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.15,0.17,0.11,0.2,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 116, ATL 1130.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.29,0.17,0.18,0.26,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.28,0.24,0.27,092.2%
TOR 92, MIL 890.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.38,0.63,0.57,0.08,091.3%
CHH 88, PHX 820.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.25,0.22,0.09,0.04,091.2%