NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	88		Excitement	5.3 [757]		MVP	Jamal Mashburn (CHH): +8.9%
Phoenix Suns	82		Comeback	1.5 [553]		LVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): -13.3%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Mashburn	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09	-0.02	0.09	-0.02	28	45%	0.10	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	10	71%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Stacey Augmon	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	13	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
George Lynch	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lee Nailon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	10	40%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.12	-0.00	-0.05	8	17%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
David Wesley	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	12	22%	-0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Majerle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	6	54%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	53%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	9	53%	-0.02	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.03
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.04	-0.03	5	0%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	20	50%	-0.02	4	-0.11	4	50%	-0.03
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	21	51%	-0.05	3	-0.08	11	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.4	2.6	28.2	14.8	25.2	1.8	29.2	122.2
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +20.2%

PHX -1.2%

CHH +2.9%

CHH +26.9%

CHH +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	PHX	NBA	CHH	PHX	NBA
this game	17.0	15.8	15.6	100.0	93.2	102.3
season	15.9	15.1		102.2	101.0
opponent	15.8	15.6		102.1	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	17.1	14.9	17.5	18.4	17.0
PHX	15.6	17.9	14.6	15.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Magloire	53	53	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.21	10	-4	14	17.2	16.6	0.54	15.9	15.6	0.24
Stacey Augmon	37	37	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.02	14	-8	22	16.8	17.1	-0.29	16.1	15.5	0.63
Jamal Mashburn	79	79	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.27	4	2	2	17.0	16.6	0.44	15.3	20.0	-4.71
Baron Davis	76	76	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.33	-1	7	-8	17.1	16.0	1.11	15.1	20.0	-4.89
David Wesley	63	63	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.30	-1	7	-8	16.9	17.2	-0.29	16.4	14.3	2.09
George Lynch	15	14	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.03	10	-4	14	15.3	17.3	-2.03	19.8	15.0	4.77
P.J. Brown	73	74	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.35	-4	10	-14	17.3	15.3	2.03	15.0	19.8	-4.77
Lee Nailon	9	9	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.05	2	4	-2	16.6	17.0	-0.44	20.0	15.3	4.71
Elden Campbell	35	35	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	10	-14	16.6	17.2	-0.54	15.6	15.9	-0.24

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Milt Palacio	17	17	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.12	7	-13	20	13.9	16.2	-2.34	17.7	16.8	0.93
Jake Voskuhl	40	40	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.51	16	-22	38	14.5	16.8	-2.33	18.4	15.7	2.74
Joe Johnson	58	57	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.16	2	-8	10	15.1	17.1	-2.06	17.2	16.5	0.68
John Wallace	6	5	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.09	-9	3	-12	22.7	15.3	7.40	12.6	17.2	-4.62
Tom Gugliotta	78	78	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.42	8	-14	22	15.1	21.4	-6.35	17.4	13.4	4.01
Bo Outlaw	11	10	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.04	-9	3	-12	19.6	15.2	4.42	15.0	17.2	-2.21
Anfernee Hardaway	7	7	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.03	-9	3	-12	22.0	15.2	6.77	13.0	17.3	-4.30
Shawn Marion	82	82	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.35	2	-8	10	15.2	23.3	-8.11	17.1	14.8	2.28
Jake Tsakalidis	38	39	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.14	-15	9	-24	16.1	15.5	0.63	16.3	17.5	-1.21
Dan Majerle	31	33	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.15	-10	4	-14	17.3	14.9	2.39	16.6	17.2	-0.61
Stephon Marbury	72	72	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.22	-13	7	-20	16.3	13.5	2.78	16.6	18.6	-2.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.25,0.22,0.09,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 107, SAC 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.21,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.26,0.09,0.22,0.2,0.11,0.02,0,0	94.3%
SEA 100, NJN 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.29,0.24,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.12,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0,0	93.8%
MIN 102, VAN 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.15,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.25,0.15,0.06,0,0	93.8%