NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	134		Excitement	4.1 [966]		MVP	Vit Krejci (ATL): +20.4%
Atlanta Hawks	147		Comeback	1.1 [1228]		LVP	Isaiah Collier (UTA): -2.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Collin Sexton	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.17	0.00	0.06	16	69%	0.12	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.01
Keyonte George	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.22	0.01	0.12	19	74%	0.15	3	-0.05	9	89%	0.02
Jaden Springer	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.02	4	112%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brice Sensabaugh	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.01	12	62%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	3	70%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Johnny Juzang	0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	-0.01	0.06	12	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Filipowski	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.03	6	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Micah Potter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Collier	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	14	52%	0.03	4	-0.06	5	80%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vit Krejci	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.20	0.01	0.00	6	142%	0.21	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.16	0.01	0.05	18	73%	0.15	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.00	-0.01	14	64%	0.12	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Zaccharie Risacher	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.00	12	62%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Terance Mann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	5	77%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Mouhamed Gueye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.00	0.02	3	89%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Trae Young	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	16	64%	0.09	3	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Dyson Daniels	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	16	56%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Georges Niang	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	5	60%	0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	24.5	15.4	31.9	1.8	31.4	131.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.2	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +45.4%

UTA -5.9%

ATL +9.0%

ATL +1.5%

UTA -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	ATL	NBA	UTA	ATL	NBA
this game	14.8	13.5	14.4	132.7	144.1	113.1
season	14.8	13.2		109.6	113.0
opponent	14.5	13.7		114.4	119.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.8	16.5	12.0	15.4	14.8
ATL	12.3	13.0	13.2	15.9	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaden Springer	35	36	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.07	0	-13	13	15.1	14.7	0.39	12.7	14.0	-1.32
Micah Potter	22	23	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	-7	1	12.8	15.4	-2.57	13.2	13.6	-0.43
Svi Mykhailiuk	42	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.04	-6	-7	1	14.8	14.8	0.00	13.0	13.9	-0.89
Kyle Filipowski	52	52	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.01	-9	-4	-5	15.6	14.0	1.54	12.8	14.3	-1.43
Keyonte George	70	71	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.19	-3	-10	7	14.3	15.9	-1.59	14.1	12.3	1.81
Collin Sexton	78	79	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.10	-8	-5	-3	15.3	13.3	2.03	13.2	14.8	-1.59
Johnny Juzang	73	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-4	-5	15.2	14.0	1.20	13.8	12.8	1.05
Brice Sensabaugh	60	59	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.01	-14	1	-15	14.9	14.8	0.09	13.9	13.0	0.87
Isaiah Collier	73	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.12	-10	-3	-7	14.4	16.0	-1.57	14.1	12.0	2.14

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Onyeka Okongwu	75	76	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.03	16	-3	19	13.7	13.0	0.75	15.4	13.0	2.38
Dyson Daniels	76	75	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.05	15	-2	17	13.3	14.3	-1.07	15.4	13.2	2.26
Vit Krejci	48	48	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.03	12	1	11	13.8	13.4	0.42	14.9	14.7	0.20
Terance Mann	56	55	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.09	15	-2	17	13.9	13.1	0.80	14.5	15.3	-0.83
Caris LeVert	58	58	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.10	6	7	-1	13.7	13.3	0.41	14.9	14.7	0.23
Trae Young	80	79	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.23	0	13	-13	13.6	13.5	0.06	14.8	14.9	-0.10
Zaccharie Risacher	48	49	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	10	-7	13.4	13.7	-0.25	14.4	15.2	-0.82
Georges Niang	44	42	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	14	-15	12.8	14.1	-1.37	14.7	14.9	-0.28
Mouhamed Gueye	25	23	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	14	-15	13.7	13.5	0.23	12.7	15.5	-2.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.69,0.82,0.8,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 80, LAL 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
POR 79, SAS 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1	96.7%
WAS 94, MIA 114	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%