inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Portland Trail Blazers 79 Excitement3.4 [1083] MVPSteve Kerr (POR): +7.6%
San Antonio Spurs 97 Comeback1.0 [1206] LVPRasheed Wallace (POR): -8.9%


Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steve Kerr0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.040.01-0.03964%0.081-0.004100%0.01
Mitchell Butler0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.000.00-0.021100%0.0210.0000%0.00
Zach Randolph0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dale Davis-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.00-0.02839%-0.0400.00771%-0.00
Ruben Boumtje-Boumtje-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.07-0.00-0.03125%-0.002-0.04250%-0.00
Derek Anderson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.01844%-0.022-0.022100%0.01
Shawn Kemp-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.0120%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Ruben Patterson-0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.01864%0.025-0.071283%0.01
Rick Brunson-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.110.00-0.03425%-0.014-0.0700%0.00
Damon Stoudamire-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.100.00-0.021232%-0.042-0.041100%0.01
Rasheed Wallace-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.10-0.00-0.022233%-0.0900.002100%0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.01-0.05667%0.082-0.0200%0.00
Terry Porter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.00-0.01467%0.0500.001100%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.00-0.00769%0.062-0.032100%0.00
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.02560%0.0100.0000%0.00
Charles Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.00-0.02756%0.032-0.022100%0.00
Steven Smith0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.021547%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jason Hart00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Amal McCaskill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cherokee Parks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.110.01-0.092150%0.065-0.071080%0.01
Antonio Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.060.00-0.05520%-0.021-0.0000%0.00
David Robinson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.00-0.011339%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.92.330.416.626.51.627.4127.7
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +38.0%
POR -4.9%
SAS +4.9%
SAS +12.0%
POR -0.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPORSASNBAPORSASNBA
this game15.415.415.684.0104.3102.3
season16.015.8105.0104.3
opponent15.715.698.0102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
POR17.218.013.813.015.4
SAS12.817.116.215.815.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Zach Randolph340.00-0.500.500.12-4-14109.015.6-6.6017.015.31.66
Rick Brunson2524-0.05-0.450.400.01-2-161411.816.7-4.8417.114.82.26
Mitchell Butler1515-0.06-0.440.380.11-6-12612.116.0-3.8815.515.40.15
Ruben Boumtje-Boumtje3030-0.07-0.430.37-0.04-1-171612.316.8-4.4916.315.01.37
Shawn Kemp1716-0.09-0.410.31-0.06-1-171616.115.20.8113.715.8-2.00
Steve Kerr4141-0.12-0.380.27-0.09-1-171612.617.5-4.9416.714.42.32
Derek Anderson5352-0.38-0.12-0.270.11-17-1-1617.512.64.9414.416.7-2.32
Rasheed Wallace7473-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.03-13-5-815.515.00.5015.714.41.28
Dale Davis6463-0.43-0.07-0.370.07-17-1-1616.812.34.4915.016.3-1.37
Ruben Patterson7978-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.09-12-6-616.012.13.8815.415.5-0.15
Damon Stoudamire6969-0.45-0.05-0.400.02-16-2-1416.711.84.8414.817.1-2.26

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
David Robinson63650.57-0.070.63-0.2026-83414.517.3-2.8416.812.24.61
Tim Duncan79800.370.130.240.08108215.713.71.9915.713.81.89
Tony Parker65660.330.170.160.0799015.216.0-0.8516.512.73.87
Bruce Bowen53540.290.210.08-0.06126615.215.6-0.4216.713.63.04
Steven Smith62620.260.240.01-0.04108215.714.71.0015.515.10.45
Charles Smith37370.250.250.00-0.10126615.515.30.1714.416.0-1.63
Antonio Daniels34350.200.30-0.100.14216-1415.015.7-0.6914.216.1-1.95
Terry Porter24250.170.33-0.160.02513-815.815.30.5713.116.2-3.10
Malik Rose34350.060.44-0.390.29-826-3415.515.40.1413.416.6-3.13
Amal McCaskill650.010.49-0.49-0.11414-1019.515.14.3710.015.7-5.70
Jason Hart430.000.50-0.50-0.12414-1017.015.31.669.015.6-6.60
Cherokee Parks430.000.50-0.50-0.12414-1017.015.31.669.015.6-6.60


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 93, DET 1000.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,196.3%
GSW 82, BOS 1050.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
MIA 80, LAL 930.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%