NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	93		Excitement	3.8 [1056]		MVP	Will Bynum (DET): +16.3%
Detroit Pistons	100		Comeback	1.0 [1197]		LVP	Jarvis Hayes (NJN): -10.1%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keyon Dooling	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.03	-0.00	11	73%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.13	0.01	0.03	13	71%	0.12	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Bobby Simmons	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.03	3	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Yi Jianlian	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brook Lopez	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	-0.01	0.06	10	64%	0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Vince Carter	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.02	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Devin Harris	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	5	8%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Douglas-Roberts	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.01	-0.03	0.05	14	53%	-0.01	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.01
Jarvis Hayes	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	10	20%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.06	-0.05	16	59%	0.19	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	-0.00	10	75%	0.12	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	57%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	58%	0.05	1	-0.01	8	37%	-0.04
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	7	69%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	7	61%	0.04	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.04
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Walter Herrmann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	9	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.5	28.0	16.0	25.0	2.5	36.5	136.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +31.1%

DET +5.5%

DET +15.2%

NJN -2.4%

DET +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	DET	NBA	NJN	DET	NBA
this game	16.5	18.0	15.5	112.0	119.0	106.4
season	16.0	16.9		106.5	104.9
opponent	15.7	15.5		106.2	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	19.3	14.6	17.4	15.2	16.5
DET	18.6	16.7	17.7	19.0	18.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yi Jianlian	12	12	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-2	-3	17.7	16.3	1.45	19.2	17.8	1.49
Josh Boone	26	28	-0.17	-0.34	0.17	-0.05	-4	-3	-1	16.0	16.7	-0.74	17.5	18.2	-0.66
Jarvis Hayes	40	40	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-5	3	16.8	16.2	0.66	17.4	18.5	-1.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	52	54	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.36	5	-12	17	16.0	17.3	-1.25	18.8	16.5	2.35
Vince Carter	57	57	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.32	3	-10	13	16.0	17.6	-1.62	17.9	18.2	-0.31
Ryan Anderson	63	64	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.37	4	-11	15	16.1	17.9	-1.84	18.4	16.7	1.68
Devin Harris	34	34	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.05	-11	4	-15	17.3	16.0	1.29	18.2	17.8	0.44
Brook Lopez	53	53	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.24	-2	-5	3	16.6	16.3	0.27	18.3	17.4	0.93
Bobby Simmons	34	34	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.19	-4	-3	-1	15.2	17.4	-2.25	16.1	19.2	-3.07
Keyon Dooling	44	44	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.11	-19	12	-31	18.3	14.5	3.86	17.7	18.3	-0.57

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Bynum	51	50	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.16	9	-2	11	17.4	18.8	-1.39	15.6	17.8	-2.18
Jason Maxiell	43	43	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.23	5	2	3	18.2	17.7	0.53	15.1	18.0	-2.98
Richard Hamilton	54	53	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.14	4	3	1	19.0	16.2	2.76	17.0	15.7	1.26
Arron Afflalo	30	30	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.16	3	4	-1	16.2	19.0	-2.76	15.7	17.0	-1.26
Kwame Brown	30	29	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.13	4	3	1	20.1	16.8	3.30	16.6	16.4	0.18
Walter Herrmann	23	23	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.02	9	-2	11	16.7	18.4	-1.70	14.6	17.2	-2.68
Rasheed Wallace	50	49	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	4	-1	17.2	19.1	-1.82	17.0	15.7	1.31
Antonio McDyess	43	44	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.16	1	6	-5	17.7	18.3	-0.67	17.5	15.4	2.02
Tayshaun Prince	48	47	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.18	0	7	-7	18.3	17.5	0.83	17.3	15.5	1.83
Rodney Stuckey	48	47	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.24	-3	10	-13	18.3	17.6	0.74	17.4	15.4	2.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 98, GSW 116	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
POR 79, SAS 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1	96.3%
SAC 89, POR 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.82,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.85,0.9,0.83,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.1%