NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	89		Excitement	3.9 [1032]		MVP	Allen Crabbe (POR): +11.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	102		Comeback	1.2 [793]		LVP	Ben McLemore (SAC): -9.5%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Garrett Temple	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	13	54%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	3	75%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Willie Cauley-Stein	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Ty Lawson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	8	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.09	-0.00	0.11	19	58%	0.01	2	-0.03	10	90%	0.01
Darren Collison	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Matt Barnes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	11	54%	0.01	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	6	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	9	26%	-0.07	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.02	8	72%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	-0.00	13	55%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.02	7	86%	0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	6	57%	0.03	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	6	71%	0.03	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
CJ McCollum	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	18	47%	0.01	2	-0.03	7	86%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	8	65%	0.06	5	-0.11	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.5	27.4	15.3	21.5	2.4	33.9	128.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +44.5%

POR +4.7%

POR +3.6%

SAC -1.5%

SAC -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	POR	NBA	SAC	POR	NBA
this game	15.6	15.3	14.8	94.7	110.9	107.7
season	15.4	14.9		106.0	108.6
opponent	14.5	14.6		109.8	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.3	16.4	16.0	15.0	15.6
POR	13.4	15.6	16.8	15.7	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Omri Casspi	26	24	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.10	0	-13	13	14.4	16.1	-1.73	18.1	14.4	3.73
Willie Cauley-Stein	18	18	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.02	-4	-9	5	15.6	15.6	-0.03	16.9	14.9	2.01
Garrett Temple	60	59	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-12	11	14.8	17.0	-2.18	16.6	13.0	3.63
Anthony Tolliver	57	55	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-11	9	14.8	17.0	-2.25	16.2	14.0	2.22
Darren Collison	38	38	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.09	-5	-8	3	17.2	14.6	2.59	14.1	16.2	-2.08
DeMarcus Cousins	69	69	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-10	7	16.0	14.5	1.52	15.0	16.4	-1.42
Ben McLemore	38	37	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	-2	-9	17.0	14.7	2.33	13.6	16.5	-2.85
Ty Lawson	58	56	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	-1	-11	14.7	17.1	-2.43	15.9	14.5	1.36
Kosta Koufos	47	46	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	0	-13	16.7	14.5	2.21	13.8	16.8	-3.00
Matt Barnes	59	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.03	-14	1	-15	15.5	15.8	-0.30	14.5	16.7	-2.24

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Crabbe	63	66	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.02	12	1	11	15.2	15.7	-0.48	15.9	15.0	0.96
CJ McCollum	68	69	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	2	9	14.5	17.7	-3.22	16.0	14.5	1.52
Maurice Harkless	64	64	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.05	10	3	7	14.7	16.7	-1.94	16.1	14.7	1.43
Al-Farouq Aminu	60	60	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.07	8	5	3	14.6	16.7	-2.14	16.1	14.9	1.23
Meyers Leonard	45	47	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.14	5	8	-3	16.2	14.5	1.67	15.1	16.2	-1.11
Evan Turner	57	58	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.16	4	9	-5	16.2	14.0	2.19	14.8	17.0	-2.16
Mason Plumlee	47	47	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.02	8	5	3	14.5	16.2	-1.67	16.2	15.1	1.11
Noah Vonleh	32	34	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.05	5	8	-3	16.7	14.6	2.14	14.9	16.1	-1.23
Shabazz Napier	24	25	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	11	-9	17.7	14.5	3.22	14.5	16.0	-1.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.82,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.85,0.9,0.83,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 97, GSW 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.91,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.98,1	96.2%
PHI 87, CHA 102	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.9,0.85,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	96.1%
NJN 93, DET 100	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1	96.1%