NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	97		Excitement	4.3 [972]		MVP	Damian Lillard (POR): +13.1%
Golden State Warriors	103		Comeback	1.0 [1204]		LVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): -11.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13	0.24	-0.01	0.10	25	74%	0.16	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Victor Claver	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Jared Jeffries	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joel Freeland	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	40%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Will Barton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03	0.00	-0.00	0.02	11	62%	0.05	4	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Ronnie Price	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	13	38%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	-0.03	15	31%	-0.06	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.13	-0.00	-0.02	14	23%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.00	0.01	11	65%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	9	65%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	-0.06	22	45%	0.07	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	6	64%	0.06	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
David Lee	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.01	20	55%	0.07	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Charles Jenkins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Festus Ezeli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	14	53%	0.07	5	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	28.7	14.8	26.5	1.7	30.3	126.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +37.5%

GSW +5.9%

POR -2.5%

GSW +4.2%

GSW +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	GSW	NBA	POR	GSW	NBA
this game	15.8	14.2	15.4	101.0	107.3	104.1
season	15.8	14.6		104.3	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.3		103.7	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.6	16.7	14.8	14.1	15.8
GSW	13.2	12.6	14.0	17.2	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	25	25	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.24	9	-15	24	15.2	16.0	-0.87	15.7	13.7	2.06
Joel Freeland	9	10	-0.07	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-3	0	18.2	15.6	2.67	12.4	14.4	-2.01
Victor Claver	17	19	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.08	0	-6	6	15.3	15.9	-0.62	12.3	14.7	-2.35
Ronnie Price	11	12	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.14	-12	6	-18	17.6	15.6	2.07	10.2	14.8	-4.61
Will Barton	18	17	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.05	-9	3	-12	17.7	15.4	2.36	10.5	15.0	-4.46
JJ Hickson	43	43	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.05	-11	5	-16	16.5	15.2	1.33	13.9	14.4	-0.53
Luke Babbitt	48	47	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.23	-2	-4	2	15.3	16.3	-0.94	13.7	14.7	-1.01
Damian Lillard	85	84	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.42	4	-10	14	15.6	17.6	-2.07	14.8	10.2	4.61
Wesley Matthews	72	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.27	-2	-4	2	15.7	16.0	-0.21	15.0	12.0	2.92
LaMarcus Aldridge	67	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	-3	0	15.6	16.3	-0.73	14.4	13.6	0.83
Nicolas Batum	85	85	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.35	-1	-5	4	15.5	17.8	-2.28	14.7	10.2	4.54

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Klay Thompson	77	77	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.14	14	-8	22	13.2	18.2	-4.94	15.3	17.7	-2.35
David Lee	70	71	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.31	4	2	2	14.6	13.0	1.64	15.8	15.8	0.06
Stephen Curry	87	87	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.39	-1	7	-8	14.4	11.8	2.67	15.6	18.0	-2.43
Jarrett Jack	57	57	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.33	-1	7	-8	14.3	14.1	0.25	15.4	16.5	-1.11
Harrison Barnes	58	60	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	3	0	15.4	12.4	3.03	16.5	14.6	1.91
Festus Ezeli	38	38	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.02	6	0	6	14.9	13.7	1.20	16.8	15.1	1.72
Carl Landry	47	47	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.17	1	5	-4	13.5	14.9	-1.35	15.9	15.7	0.22
Charles Jenkins	9	9	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.06	7	-1	8	11.8	14.4	-2.67	18.0	15.6	2.43
Draymond Green	36	33	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.24	-4	10	-14	13.7	14.5	-0.72	15.3	16.1	-0.81
Kent Bazemore	1	1	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	5	-4	4.0	14.3	-10.31	6.0	15.9	-9.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.91,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 98, BOS 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.92,1	96.3%
TOR 102, MIL 115	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.87,0.82,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	96.2%
SAC 89, POR 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.82,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.85,0.9,0.83,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.2%