NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	98		Excitement	3.5 [1070]		MVP	Andre Miller (CLE): +14.4%
Boston Celtics	104		Comeback	1.0 [1166]		LVP	Lamond Murray (CLE): -11.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Miller	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14	0.26	0.02	0.13	18	86%	0.15	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.01
Bryant Stith	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.05	-0.02	-0.00	6	67%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Trajan Langdon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	11	54%	-0.00	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Jumaine Jones	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.07	0.02	-0.01	16	34%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	7	29%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	0.00	-0.02	14	33%	-0.08	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Walker	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.01	18	73%	0.15	5	-0.04	9	78%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.03	-0.05	18	58%	0.14	2	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	4	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	5	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	12	42%	0.02	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	54%	0.03	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.01
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	60%	-0.00	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.3	24.5	15.5	27.4	2.5	36.9	130.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +47.2%

CLE -4.1%

CLE -4.8%

BOS +10.8%

BOS +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	BOS	NBA	CLE	BOS	NBA
this game	17.6	13.5	15.6	106.5	111.8	102.3
season	15.8	15.0		102.6	100.9
opponent	15.7	15.5		98.8	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	21.6	18.2	16.5	15.0	17.6
BOS	13.8	11.8	15.5	13.3	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trajan Langdon	15	16	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-8	10	13.3	18.4	-5.11	14.5	13.4	1.15
Bryant Stith	33	34	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.43	14	-20	34	14.0	19.6	-5.58	13.7	13.4	0.29
Brian Skinner	18	19	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	0	-6	16.4	17.9	-1.45	11.8	14.0	-2.14
Chris Mihm	34	34	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.01	-7	1	-8	20.0	16.2	3.75	15.1	12.7	2.38
Ricky Davis	33	32	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.23	1	-7	8	18.1	17.3	0.75	12.7	14.0	-1.22
Bimbo Coles	28	28	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-2	-2	16.4	18.2	-1.80	13.2	13.7	-0.48
Wesley Person	42	42	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	3	-12	19.9	15.7	4.22	13.8	13.3	0.52
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	48	48	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.29	0	-6	6	16.9	18.4	-1.53	13.1	14.0	-0.96
Andre Miller	72	74	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.28	-1	-5	4	17.4	18.4	-1.01	13.6	13.2	0.49
Jumaine Jones	67	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-2	-2	18.3	15.8	2.54	13.4	13.8	-0.40
Lamond Murray	70	70	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.01	-16	10	-26	18.3	15.3	3.01	13.6	13.3	0.27

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	86	84	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.21	10	-4	14	13.5	14.1	-0.64	18.0	13.0	5.05
Kenny Anderson	64	64	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.14	10	-4	14	14.0	12.4	1.60	18.1	16.5	1.65
Antoine Walker	79	80	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.33	1	5	-4	13.8	12.4	1.40	17.4	19.2	-1.79
Eric Williams	41	38	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.23	4	2	2	12.9	14.1	-1.16	17.2	17.9	-0.77
Vitaly Potapenko	57	57	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.28	2	4	-2	13.3	13.9	-0.56	16.0	20.3	-4.27
Tony Battie	36	35	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.05	4	2	2	13.9	13.3	0.56	20.3	16.0	4.27
Erick Strickland	41	42	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.24	-3	9	-12	13.9	13.3	0.59	15.4	19.5	-4.10
Joe Johnson	32	32	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.03	6	0	6	13.6	13.5	0.02	20.5	16.1	4.43
Milt Palacio	29	28	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.18	-4	10	-14	12.4	14.0	-1.60	16.5	18.1	-1.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 86, HOU 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.85,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.89,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
NYK 109, IND 123	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.4%
POR 97, GSW 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.91,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.98,1	96.3%