NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	98		Excitement	3.9 [1091]		MVP	David Lee (GSW): +9.7%
Golden State Warriors	116		Comeback	1.1 [1254]		LVP	Alonzo Gee (CLE): -8.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manny Harris	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.00	0.03	9	76%	0.09	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Samardo Samuels	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	3	71%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mo Williams	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	11	55%	0.03	2	-0.03	7	71%	-0.02
Ryan Hollins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.02	17	52%	0.03	3	-0.04	6	50%	-0.03
JJ Hickson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	13	49%	0.03	4	-0.07	9	78%	-0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	9	50%	-0.00	3	-0.04	8	62%	0.00
Christian Eyenga	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.00	-0.03	16	65%	0.14	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.02	21	64%	0.16	6	-0.07	8	100%	0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.02	9	65%	0.10	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.13	0.00	0.05	7	83%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	42%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.03	18	51%	0.00	3	-0.03	3	100%	0.00
Acie Law	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	1.8	31.4	16.3	28.6	2.6	31.3	133.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +37.4%

GSW +1.0%

GSW +4.6%

GSW +6.7%

GSW +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	GSW	NBA	CLE	GSW	NBA
this game	14.9	14.7	15.5	100.0	119.6	105.7
season	15.1	14.8		100.8	106.6
opponent	15.2	15.4		109.0	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.5	17.7	13.5	14.1	14.9
GSW	13.7	14.4	14.2	16.6	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samardo Samuels	16	16	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-18	18	14.7	14.9	-0.13	16.9	14.2	2.63
Ramon Sessions	57	57	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-13	8	14.0	16.1	-2.13	15.2	13.9	1.29
JJ Hickson	65	64	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.10	-4	-14	10	13.9	16.7	-2.73	15.5	13.2	2.27
Manny Harris	73	72	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.00	-8	-10	2	15.1	14.0	1.10	15.1	13.6	1.51
Ryan Hollins	33	33	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.13	-14	-4	-10	16.7	13.9	2.73	13.2	15.5	-2.27
Christian Eyenga	57	57	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.11	-7	-11	4	14.5	15.3	-0.83	14.4	15.0	-0.59
Alonzo Gee	48	46	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.04	-13	-5	-8	15.8	13.9	1.91	14.9	14.5	0.40
Antawn Jamison	78	77	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.07	-16	-2	-14	14.7	15.6	-1.00	14.2	16.4	-2.23
Mo Williams	63	63	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.21	-23	5	-28	15.2	14.3	0.93	13.8	16.3	-2.44

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Lee	79	80	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.16	24	-6	30	14.3	16.6	-2.30	14.9	14.7	0.23
Dorell Wright	84	84	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.02	16	2	14	14.4	16.4	-1.97	14.5	17.1	-2.67
Stephen Curry	53	50	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.11	15	3	12	13.8	15.7	-1.92	15.2	14.5	0.70
Monta Ellis	77	77	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.01	11	7	4	14.2	16.6	-2.42	14.7	15.3	-0.61
Andris Biedrins	39	39	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.07	12	6	6	14.2	15.0	-0.79	15.5	14.4	1.09
Reggie Williams	29	30	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.05	9	9	0	16.9	13.7	3.11	15.2	14.7	0.49
Vladimir Radmanovic	40	42	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.05	8	10	-2	15.7	14.0	1.69	15.7	14.2	1.42
Acie Law	35	39	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	17	-16	15.3	14.3	0.95	14.4	15.2	-0.74
Lou Amundson	20	20	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.17	-5	23	-28	16.9	14.1	2.80	15.7	14.6	1.06
Ekpe Udoh	26	26	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.08	-2	20	-22	14.0	14.9	-0.93	13.4	15.4	-1.95
Brandan Wright	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	17	-16	17.3	14.6	2.74	11.3	15.0	-3.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 93, DET 100	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1	96.4%
DET 99, NOP 115	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
MIL 94, NOH 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.97,1,0.99,0.98,0.95,1	96.3%