NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	94		Excitement	5.3 [752]		MVP	Tyson Chandler (NOH): +57.4%
New Orleans Hornets	95		Comeback	5.4 [323]		LVP	Luke Ridnour (MIL): -21.3%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Bell	0.42	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0,0.42	0.09	0.39	0.06	18	55%	0.42	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04	0.00	0.04	0.00	2	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ramon Sessions	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	10	38%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Francisco Elson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	13	46%	0.01	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Keith Bogans	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	6	50%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.02	19	49%	-0.02	4	-0.05	7	86%	0.00
Malik Allen	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Luke Ridnour	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.21	0.09	-0.21	0.09	10	64%	-0.21	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.57	0.57	0.09	0.50	0.02	7	70%	0.57	0	0.00	6	67%	0.01
Sean Marks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.02	17	50%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	0.00	-0.06	12	32%	-0.01	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.03
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	15	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,-0.1	-0.10	0.03	-0.17	-0.04	19	62%	-0.02	6	-0.08	7	86%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	29.4	15.5	26.2	3.5	36.2	137.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +49.0%

NOH +0.3%

NOH +3.7%

MIL -7.5%

NOH +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NOH	NBA	MIL	NOH	NBA
this game	14.1	16.1	15.5	97.9	100.0	106.4
season	15.0	16.6		104.9	105.9
opponent	15.6	15.6		106.0	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.8	15.8	14.0	11.3	14.1
NOH	14.9	17.7	13.7	18.2	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Jones	7	7	0.65	-1.15	1.81	0.22	15	-16	31	10.0	14.4	-4.44	19.6	15.8	3.80
Malik Allen	37	38	0.48	-0.98	1.45	0.15	11	-12	23	14.8	13.7	1.09	16.5	15.8	0.70
Dan Gadzuric	25	22	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.26	12	-13	25	14.2	14.1	0.12	18.7	15.2	3.48
Keith Bogans	37	36	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.62	20	-21	41	11.5	15.8	-4.28	18.0	14.9	3.14
Francisco Elson	21	21	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.17	-13	12	-25	16.4	13.5	2.90	12.6	17.0	-4.41
Charlie Bell	54	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.46	7	-8	15	12.9	15.7	-2.89	17.0	14.8	2.28
Ramon Sessions	47	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.03	-11	10	-21	15.5	12.8	2.65	14.6	17.5	-2.89
Charlie Villanueva	64	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	12	-25	14.2	14.0	0.13	15.5	17.2	-1.65
Richard Jefferson	84	83	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.31	-13	12	-25	14.5	11.7	2.70	15.5	19.8	-4.33
Luke Ridnour	55	53	-0.88	0.38	-1.26	-0.88	0	-1	1	13.6	14.8	-1.20	17.4	14.3	3.12
Luc Mbah a Moute	49	49	-1.02	0.52	-1.54	-0.43	-20	19	-39	15.2	13.0	2.23	14.5	17.7	-3.19

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Peja Stojakovic	76	78	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.79	2	-1	3	15.8	16.9	-1.05	14.3	13.2	1.17
David West	77	79	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.37	3	-2	5	15.3	19.3	-4.05	14.4	12.6	1.85
Tyson Chandler	68	68	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.30	5	-4	9	15.5	17.3	-1.79	14.3	13.7	0.51
Chris Paul	73	75	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.39	0	1	-1	14.7	20.7	-6.02	14.3	13.4	0.94
Rasual Butler	74	76	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.49	-4	5	-9	15.3	18.6	-3.23	14.1	14.3	-0.23
Antonio Daniels	22	21	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	0	1	20.7	14.7	6.02	13.4	14.3	-0.94
Julian Wright	10	9	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	1	-1	21.5	15.4	6.09	14.9	14.0	0.85
Sean Marks	20	21	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.16	-5	6	-11	19.8	15.1	4.75	12.3	14.6	-2.28
James Posey	55	53	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.27	3	-2	5	16.7	15.2	1.43	13.8	14.6	-0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.97,1,0.99,0.98,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 103, TOR 112	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.73,0.82,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.83,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
MEM 103, DAL 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
PHX 95, BKN 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.66,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%