NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	103		Excitement	3.6 [1105]		MVP	Norman Powell (TOR): +9.2%
Toronto Raptors	112		Comeback	1.0 [1305]		LVP	Lauri Markkanen (CHI): -7.6%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Arcidiacono	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.02	11	54%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Antonio Blakeney	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	15	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	6	71%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Sampson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.04	5	71%	0.01	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Wayne Selden	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.04	15	62%	0.03	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Cristiano Felicio	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	5	60%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille Harrison	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.00	-0.02	0.06	12	54%	-0.01	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Lauri Markkanen	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	10	38%	-0.02	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.14	0.00	0.06	10	100%	0.12	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	4	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	13	59%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.03	10	62%	0.06	2	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.03	4	83%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	10	54%	0.05	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	9	78%	0.11	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Patrick McCaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	6	44%	-0.00	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	-0.05	9	11%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.3	28.4	14.8	25.4	2.3	28.6	123.3
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +34.7%

TOR +0.4%

CHI -3.8%

TOR +18.0%

TOR +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	TOR	NBA	CHI	TOR	NBA
this game	14.4	12.8	14.3	98.1	104.7	109.3
season	14.6	14.3		104.2	111.5
opponent	14.5	14.3		105.9	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.4	12.2	15.5	14.0	14.4
TOR	13.6	12.7	11.7	13.1	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Sampson	50	54	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.40	10	-19	29	13.0	15.8	-2.80	12.7	12.8	-0.11
Cristiano Felicio	48	51	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.33	7	-16	23	13.5	15.2	-1.67	13.0	12.5	0.50
Shaquille Harrison	75	76	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.32	2	-11	13	14.0	15.6	-1.59	12.3	13.8	-1.52
Lauri Markkanen	38	38	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.03	-10	1	-11	13.6	14.9	-1.25	12.5	12.9	-0.40
Antonio Blakeney	46	45	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.02	-10	1	-11	15.7	13.5	2.22	12.2	13.1	-0.88
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	60	62	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.19	-5	-4	-1	14.6	14.2	0.44	12.4	13.3	-0.88
Robin Lopez	56	56	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.05	-13	4	-17	15.4	13.3	2.07	12.5	13.0	-0.50
Wayne Selden	88	88	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.22	-5	-4	-1	14.3	15.2	-0.96	13.4	9.7	3.67
Ryan Arcidiacono	64	65	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.18	-21	12	-33	15.6	12.7	2.90	13.3	11.9	1.36

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred VanVleet	54	55	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.12	16	-7	23	12.2	13.3	-1.15	15.5	13.2	2.27
Marc Gasol	45	45	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.12	16	-7	23	12.1	13.2	-1.11	14.5	14.4	0.14
Kyle Lowry	48	46	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.08	14	-5	19	12.7	12.8	-0.09	14.7	14.3	0.40
Kawhi Leonard	51	50	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.11	14	-5	19	12.3	13.2	-0.85	14.6	14.3	0.29
Danny Green	32	31	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.02	10	-1	11	13.3	12.5	0.75	15.4	14.0	1.31
Pascal Siakam	48	47	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.18	2	7	-5	12.3	13.1	-0.77	14.3	14.5	-0.16
OG Anunoby	55	54	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	5	-1	13.1	12.4	0.69	14.5	14.4	0.15
Serge Ibaka	49	49	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	6	-3	13.4	12.2	1.16	15.3	13.7	1.65
Norman Powell	55	55	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.29	-5	14	-19	12.7	12.8	-0.10	14.5	14.4	0.13
Patrick McCaw	40	38	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.22	-4	13	-17	13.8	12.1	1.71	12.7	15.4	-2.73
Jeremy Lin	45	44	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.50	-15	24	-39	12.8	12.7	0.04	13.5	15.1	-1.68
Jodie Meeks	13	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	19	-29	12.6	12.8	-0.16	10.2	14.9	-4.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.73,0.82,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.83,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 94, NOH 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.97,1,0.99,0.98,0.95,1	96.7%
NYK 80, LAC 90	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
POR 115, LAL 122	0.5,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.6%