NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	80		Excitement	3.3 [1138]		MVP	Elton Brand (LAC): +10.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	90		Comeback	1.0 [1179]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (NYK): -14.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	13	45%	-0.00	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Mardy Collins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	0.00	0.07	9	61%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.08	0.00	0.10	5	83%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	13	39%	0.01	2	-0.04	10	80%	-0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	5	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Malik Rose	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	7	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.15	0.00	-0.06	14	41%	-0.01	6	-0.08	1	0%	-0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.16	-0.01	-0.03	8	32%	-0.06	5	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.17	0.00	0.07	18	74%	0.15	3	-0.05	7	86%	0.01
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	-0.03	7	50%	0.04	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.01	-0.06	8	58%	0.08	4	-0.04	8	100%	0.03
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	11	65%	0.08	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	9	52%	0.05	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Quinton Ross	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	2	50%	0.00	4	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	9	44%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.6	1.5	29.5	15.5	25.4	2.4	26.4	130.3
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +54.8%

LAC +7.6%

NYK -8.8%

NYK -3.4%

NYK -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	LAC	NBA	NYK	LAC	NBA
this game	17.1	15.4	15.4	89.9	102.3	104.5
season	15.7	15.7		103.7	103.3
opponent	15.4	15.4		103.6	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	17.4	15.6	18.6	16.9	17.1
LAC	14.7	15.0	14.1	18.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome James	22	23	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.41	14	-24	38	16.9	17.1	-0.24	17.5	14.7	2.76
Renaldo Balkman	13	14	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.11	-1	-9	8	17.2	17.1	0.16	16.4	15.3	1.17
Malik Rose	33	32	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	-6	2	15.4	18.1	-2.65	13.7	16.4	-2.71
Jared Jeffries	33	30	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.01	-6	-4	-2	16.4	17.5	-1.11	14.2	16.1	-1.94
Mardy Collins	37	40	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.19	0	-10	10	17.8	16.6	1.14	16.0	15.0	1.07
David Lee	50	52	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.21	-1	-9	8	17.9	16.1	1.80	16.0	14.6	1.36
Channing Frye	53	53	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	2	-14	17.8	16.1	1.64	15.5	15.3	0.21
Stephon Marbury	82	80	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.31	-3	-7	4	17.0	17.9	-0.83	15.7	12.6	3.10
Jamal Crawford	61	58	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	5	-20	16.6	18.1	-1.54	14.8	16.7	-1.86
Eddy Curry	61	58	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.18	-22	12	-34	17.3	16.5	0.81	15.3	15.8	-0.49

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Thomas	68	70	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.07	19	-9	28	14.6	18.4	-3.83	16.9	17.7	-0.82
Cuttino Mobley	71	72	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.31	2	8	-6	15.1	16.9	-1.78	17.0	17.5	-0.54
Shaun Livingston	60	61	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	7	-4	14.7	17.1	-2.39	16.5	18.4	-1.95
Elton Brand	62	65	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.16	4	6	-2	15.1	16.3	-1.23	17.4	16.2	1.26
Chris Kaman	45	48	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.02	10	0	10	16.4	14.4	1.96	17.8	16.3	1.48
Corey Maggette	44	45	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.31	-3	13	-16	16.3	14.6	1.66	16.6	17.6	-0.99
Daniel Ewing	28	28	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.02	7	3	4	17.1	14.7	2.39	18.4	16.5	1.95
Aaron Williams	36	32	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	8	-6	15.6	15.4	0.19	17.4	16.9	0.45
Quinton Ross	11	12	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.02	5	5	0	16.4	15.3	1.05	17.8	17.0	0.86
James Singleton	15	12	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	9	-8	16.3	15.3	0.99	14.5	17.5	-2.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 69, SAS 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
POR 72, SAC 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.85,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
SAC 101, LAL 124	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%