NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	115		Excitement	3.4 [1075]		MVP	Nick Van Exel (LAL): +14.6%
Los Angeles Lakers	122		Comeback	1.0 [1158]		LVP	Stacey Augmon (POR): -10.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alvin Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.01	0.01	14	53%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Kelvin Cato	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	7	62%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Vincent Askew	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Trent	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	6	61%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Rick Brunson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.12	0.00	0.14	8	86%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	62%	0.03	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.02
Isaiah Rider	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	16	47%	0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	10	50%	-0.03	2	-0.03	8	62%	-0.02
Stacey Augmon	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	-0.01	-0.04	14	30%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.17	0.00	0.03	12	82%	0.15	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.01	0.00	10	79%	0.13	1	-0.00	13	100%	0.03
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.01	0.02	18	67%	0.12	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Jon Barry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	67%	-0.01	1	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Mario Bennett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	4	75%	-0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	17	49%	-0.01	3	-0.04	9	11%	-0.07
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.15	0.00	-0.09	13	38%	-0.02	5	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.7	26.6	16.7	23.4	2.5	38.2	136.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +40.8%

LAL +1.2%

POR -4.8%

LAL +11.3%

LAL +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAL	NBA	POR	LAL	NBA
this game	14.1	13.2	15.6	108.5	116.2	102.5
season	15.9	14.8		101.9	110.0
opponent	15.6	15.4		102.6	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	12.9	15.2	16.5	12.4	14.1
LAL	13.8	14.2	12.8	12.0	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alvin Williams	29	30	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.39	13	-20	33	12.4	14.8	-2.41	12.0	13.6	-1.57
Kelvin Cato	36	36	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.36	11	-18	29	13.6	14.4	-0.83	11.7	13.9	-2.26
Jermaine O'Neal	33	34	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.46	13	-20	33	13.2	14.5	-1.29	11.5	13.9	-2.44
Vincent Askew	22	22	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	-1	-5	12.4	14.6	-2.17	14.4	12.8	1.53
Gary Trent	38	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.08	-3	-4	1	15.4	13.4	2.01	13.7	12.8	0.91
Rick Brunson	38	38	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.32	4	-11	15	12.3	15.1	-2.79	12.6	13.5	-0.86
Stacey Augmon	41	41	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.22	0	-7	7	15.5	13.2	2.29	13.7	12.8	0.83
Kenny Anderson	64	63	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	3	-13	14.6	13.5	1.09	13.5	12.6	0.93
Isaiah Rider	72	72	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	6	-19	14.4	13.6	0.71	12.5	14.5	-1.99
Arvydas Sabonis	62	61	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.03	-15	8	-23	14.9	13.1	1.74	13.9	12.2	1.71
Rasheed Wallace	70	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.17	-20	13	-33	13.9	14.6	-0.64	13.9	11.9	1.99

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	83	85	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.19	9	-2	11	13.7	11.3	2.38	14.2	13.8	0.46
Eddie Jones	89	90	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.14	9	-2	11	13.0	13.9	-0.85	14.0	15.1	-1.10
Rick Fox	69	71	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.34	1	6	-5	13.1	13.2	-0.11	15.5	11.3	4.21
Corie Blount	54	54	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.09	15	-8	23	14.3	11.9	2.39	14.6	13.6	0.98
Nick Van Exel	77	77	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.26	3	4	-1	12.9	13.7	-0.81	13.6	15.6	-1.95
Kobe Bryant	65	64	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.31	-4	11	-15	13.2	13.0	0.17	13.4	15.3	-1.87
Derek Fisher	39	39	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.13	1	6	-5	12.7	13.4	-0.73	13.8	14.3	-0.53
Mario Bennett	25	27	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	6	-5	12.0	13.5	-1.46	14.8	13.9	0.87
Jon Barry	2	2	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.00	2	5	-3	18.0	13.1	4.94	1.5	14.4	-12.88
Elden Campbell	22	21	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	9	-11	11.3	13.7	-2.38	13.8	14.2	-0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 101, DEN 115	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1	97.2%
UTA 89, SAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
PHX 101, SAC 133	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%