NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	103		Excitement	3.2 [1139]		MVP	Antawn Jamison (DAL): +11.1%
Dallas Mavericks	110		Comeback	1.1 [1158]		LVP	Pau Gasol (MEM): -16.9%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Posey	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.06	9	55%	0.06	3	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Jason Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	12	52%	0.05	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	5	92%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Bonzi Wells	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.14	-0.00	0.12	18	69%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Ryan Humphrey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	6	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shane Battier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	5	60%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Mike Miller	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	7	63%	0.01	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.01
Earl Watson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.15	-0.01	0.01	13	32%	-0.10	3	-0.07	5	80%	-0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.00	-0.01	11	75%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	19	68%	0.12	3	-0.03	6	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	14	78%	0.15	5	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	-0.04	9	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	7	39%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	12	37%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	9	44%	0.00	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	25.3	16.7	23.9	1.0	28.7	122.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +35.9%

DAL +0.1%

DAL +0.9%

DAL +12.7%

DAL +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	DAL	NBA	MEM	DAL	NBA
this game	14.4	14.7	15.7	104.0	111.1	100.5
season	15.3	14.6		102.3	109.2
opponent	15.6	15.7		105.0	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.8	15.0	12.8	13.9	14.4
DAL	13.6	13.8	15.4	16.1	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Humphrey	12	13	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.33	12	-19	31	11.7	14.7	-3.06	18.2	14.2	4.02
Earl Watson	49	49	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.32	7	-14	21	14.0	14.7	-0.62	15.1	14.4	0.64
Bonzi Wells	51	51	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.40	9	-16	25	14.3	14.4	-0.16	15.8	13.6	2.24
Bo Outlaw	53	52	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-6	5	13.6	15.2	-1.53	15.2	14.2	1.04
Shane Battier	48	48	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.40	6	-13	19	13.8	14.8	-1.01	16.3	13.3	3.06
Stromile Swift	30	30	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.03	-7	0	-7	14.8	14.2	0.59	15.1	14.6	0.47
James Posey	51	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	6	-19	14.8	13.8	1.01	13.3	16.2	-2.90
Lorenzen Wright	51	51	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	6	-19	14.8	13.8	1.01	13.3	16.3	-3.06
Pau Gasol	52	53	-0.34	-0.15	-0.19	-0.20	-5	-2	-3	15.0	13.7	1.32	14.6	14.9	-0.37
Mike Miller	48	48	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.11	-16	9	-25	14.4	14.3	0.16	13.6	15.8	-2.24
Jason Williams	50	50	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	7	-21	14.7	14.0	0.62	14.4	15.1	-0.64

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marquis Daniels	99	99	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.29	7	0	7	14.7	0.0	14.74	14.4	0.0	14.35
Antoine Walker	78	77	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.21	9	-2	11	14.3	16.2	-1.90	14.6	13.3	1.33
Steve Nash	74	73	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	-6	19	14.8	14.6	0.24	14.6	13.5	1.11
Michael Finley	67	67	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.06	9	-2	11	14.5	15.3	-0.80	14.2	14.7	-0.54
Antawn Jamison	65	66	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.28	1	6	-5	14.9	14.4	0.59	14.5	14.1	0.35
Josh Howard	45	46	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.06	6	1	5	14.9	14.6	0.24	14.2	14.5	-0.38
Dirk Nowitzki	56	56	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	3	1	15.1	14.2	0.93	13.8	15.0	-1.23
Travis Best	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	14	-21	15.3	14.7	0.63	14.3	14.4	-0.02
Eduardo Najera	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	14	-21	14.6	14.7	-0.14	14.2	14.4	-0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 95, PHI 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.9,0.88,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
POR 77, PHX 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
SEA 84, CHI 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%