NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	95		Excitement	3.3 [1089]		MVP	James Robinson (MIN): +8.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	109		Comeback	1.0 [863]		LVP	Tom Gugliotta (MIN): -8.7%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Robinson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.12	0.00	0.04	17	64%	0.08	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Stojko Vrankovic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	70%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Dean Garrett	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.02	15	57%	0.02	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.03
Terry Porter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	5	46%	0.00	3	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Chris Carr	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	-0.05	15	48%	-0.01	3	-0.05	12	50%	-0.01
Tom Gugliotta	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.13	0.00	-0.05	9	42%	-0.04	4	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.01	-0.07	17	62%	0.13	5	-0.06	8	100%	0.03
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.03	13	66%	0.11	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	13	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	5	45%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Rex Walters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	58%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	19	55%	0.05	4	-0.04	6	100%	0.01
Mark Bradtke	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Cage	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	7	42%	-0.01	1	-0.00	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.3	25.7	15.7	28.0	1.4	26.7	123.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +36.1%

PHI +4.0%

PHI +9.8%

MIN -1.0%

PHI +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	PHI	NBA	MIN	PHI	NBA
this game	15.1	16.2	15.6	103.3	118.5	104.4
season	15.5	14.7		103.3	101.4
opponent	14.7	15.5		108.4	105.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.8	16.6	15.2	11.7	15.1
PHI	14.5	13.4	18.3	18.8	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stojko Vrankovic	16	15	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.10	3	-17	20	12.4	15.7	-3.31	18.5	15.7	2.79
Terry Porter	31	31	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-16	18	14.5	15.4	-0.85	16.6	16.0	0.58
Sam Mitchell	57	56	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.30	5	-19	24	13.5	17.7	-4.21	16.6	15.6	0.96
Dean Garrett	34	34	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.02	-5	-9	4	18.5	13.1	5.38	17.1	15.7	1.46
Chris Carr	18	20	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.13	-12	-2	-10	17.1	14.6	2.49	15.9	16.3	-0.38
Cherokee Parks	18	18	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.12	-12	-2	-10	15.5	15.0	0.49	15.5	16.4	-0.86
James Robinson	69	70	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	-13	12	14.2	17.9	-3.68	15.6	18.1	-2.55
Kevin Garnett	68	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.01	-12	-2	-10	16.3	11.7	4.66	16.1	16.4	-0.32
Stephon Marbury	70	69	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.01	-18	4	-22	15.4	14.0	1.40	16.6	15.1	1.42
Tom Gugliotta	79	78	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	0.04	-20	6	-26	14.5	18.8	-4.35	15.5	20.3	-4.82

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Coleman	75	76	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.14	25	-11	36	15.3	20.3	-5.03	15.7	12.4	3.31
Jerry Stackhouse	88	88	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.02	17	-3	20	16.3	14.7	1.51	15.5	7.2	8.22
Scott Williams	61	61	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.10	19	-5	24	17.5	13.6	3.90	15.1	15.2	-0.08
Allen Iverson	79	80	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.14	7	7	0	17.0	11.5	5.42	14.7	17.6	-2.85
Clar. Weatherspoon	77	77	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.21	2	12	-10	16.6	13.9	2.70	15.1	15.1	0.05
Doug Overton	13	12	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.05	7	7	0	11.5	17.0	-5.42	17.6	14.7	2.85
Mark Davis	19	18	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.05	3	11	-8	19.2	15.4	3.73	12.1	15.9	-3.80
Rex Walters	40	40	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.24	-5	19	-24	13.9	18.0	-4.06	14.4	15.7	-1.25
Mark Bradtke	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	14	-14	2.0	16.4	-14.35	4.0	15.2	-11.23
Michael Cage	7	7	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.09	-5	19	-24	16.1	16.2	-0.06	18.0	14.9	3.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.9,0.88,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 103, DAL 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
POR 76, DAL 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.71,0.77,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
PHI 81, DET 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.57,0.64,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%