NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	84		Excitement	3.2 [1153]		MVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): +14.1%
Chicago Bulls	99		Comeback	1.0 [1269]		LVP	Luke Ridnour (SEA): -6.7%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mickael Gelabale	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	43%	0.01	1	-0.01	5	40%	-0.03
Johan Petro	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	0.00	0.08	12	67%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.09	0.00	0.09	13	62%	0.01	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Mike Wilks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	42%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Desmon Farmer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	12	55%	0.03	8	-0.09	5	100%	0.01
Chris Wilcox	-0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	7	29%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	14	37%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.00	-0.02	17	64%	0.16	2	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.00	0.03	16	62%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.00	-0.06	13	50%	0.05	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	12	58%	0.07	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Viktor Khryapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	16	38%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.8	23.6	14.6	22.4	2.7	26.2	118.3
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +35.1%

CHI +2.3%

CHI +8.7%

CHI +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	CHI	NBA	SEA	CHI	NBA
this game	16.5	14.4	15.4	90.3	105.3	104.5
season	15.4	14.5		105.5	103.1
opponent	15.9	15.4		98.1	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	16.7	19.8	15.6	14.0	16.5
CHI	14.6	12.3	13.8	16.7	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Desmon Farmer	22	25	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.23	6	-21	27	13.7	17.3	-3.58	13.7	14.6	-0.86
Mickael Gelabale	62	61	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.24	3	-18	21	16.3	16.8	-0.52	14.5	14.1	0.45
Mike Wilks	46	50	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.28	4	-19	23	16.1	16.8	-0.70	13.4	15.5	-2.07
Johan Petro	59	59	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.12	-2	-13	11	15.6	17.9	-2.24	14.9	13.5	1.42
Nick Collison	19	19	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.08	-9	-6	-3	17.7	16.1	1.60	14.9	14.2	0.68
Chris Wilcox	31	33	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.18	-18	3	-21	16.8	16.3	0.52	14.1	14.5	-0.45
Damien Wilkins	87	86	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	-3	-9	16.3	18.7	-2.36	14.8	9.6	5.17
Luke Ridnour	69	67	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.17	-22	7	-29	17.8	12.7	5.06	14.4	14.3	0.13
Rashard Lewis	70	70	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	0.19	-25	10	-35	16.8	15.4	1.37	14.1	15.1	-0.98

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	75	74	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.25	27	-12	39	14.4	14.2	0.18	16.4	16.8	-0.48
Luol Deng	71	69	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.01	16	-1	17	13.6	16.7	-3.05	16.6	16.0	0.68
Kirk Hinrich	74	75	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.12	20	-5	25	14.6	13.4	1.21	16.8	15.2	1.54
Chris Duhon	66	64	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.01	13	2	11	15.5	11.6	3.86	16.3	16.8	-0.48
Andres Nocioni	52	55	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.23	19	-4	23	16.1	12.1	3.99	17.6	14.8	2.83
Ben Gordon	62	62	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.08	5	10	-5	14.1	14.7	-0.60	16.7	15.9	0.84
Thabo Sefolosha	33	32	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.23	-4	19	-23	12.0	15.6	-3.67	14.6	17.4	-2.80
Viktor Khryapa	13	11	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.15	-5	20	-25	12.8	14.6	-1.75	15.0	16.7	-1.66
Tyrus Thomas	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	19	-23	9.6	14.6	-5.02	8.7	16.8	-8.06
Malik Allen	19	19	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.31	-12	27	-39	14.2	14.4	-0.18	16.8	16.4	0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 87, SAC 104	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
IND 97, DAL 116	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
OKC 81, MIN 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%