inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 81 Excitement2.6 [1226] MVPKevin Love (MIN): +4.6%
Minnesota Timberwolves 100 Comeback1.1 [886] LVPReggie Jackson (OKC): -13.2%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Perry Jones0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.070.00-0.10721%0.0310.0000%0.00
Nick Collison0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.00387%0.042-0.022100%0.01
Kendrick Perkins0.010,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.013100%0.032-0.0300%0.00
Andre Roberson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0520%0.0010.0000%0.00
Ryan Gomes0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Steven Adams-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.010.000.03550%-0.0200.00667%-0.01
Jeremy Lamb-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.030.000.061553%-0.031-0.0000%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha-0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.07-0.00-0.03822%-0.0400.002100%-0.00
Kevin Durant-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.070.00-0.031148%0.004-0.04580%0.00
Derek Fisher-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.010.000.04658%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Serge Ibaka-0.090,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.080.000.021332%-0.071-0.022100%0.01
Reggie Jackson-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.160.00-0.03940%-0.017-0.122100%0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Love0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.160.000.111275%0.051-0.01887%0.01
Derrick Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.00-0.02671%0.0420.002100%-0.00
Jose Juan Barea0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.060.000.03862%0.0300.0000%0.00
Corey Brewer0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.01850%0.0300.002100%0.01
Ricky Rubio0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.080.000.06870%0.041-0.024100%0.01
Alexey Shved0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.01358%0.0210.00683%0.02
Nikola Pekovic0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.00-0.031058%0.044-0.03683%0.01
Shabazz Muhammad0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Ronny Turiaf00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Robbie Hummel0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gorgui Dieng0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.100.00-0.0810%-0.0120.0040%0.00
Kevin Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.070.00-0.031139%-0.022-0.021100%0.00
Dante Cunningham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.080.00-0.02617%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game31.01.028.215.528.32.427.3133.7
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN +13.9%
MIN +10.2%
MIN +8.3%
MIN +16.2%
MIN +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCMINNBAOKCMINNBA
this game15.413.815.182.7101.0105.2
season14.414.6107.8107.3
opponent14.515.4104.7102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC15.215.314.816.615.4
MIN11.014.713.416.913.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andre Roberson16160.00-0.500.50-0.3813-324517.315.12.2416.513.33.21
Ryan Gomes10110.00-0.500.50-0.3512-314317.115.21.8516.713.43.28
Derek Fisher3937-0.09-0.410.320.23-11-8-314.516.1-1.6213.613.9-0.25
Jeremy Lamb4545-0.10-0.400.30-0.04-2-171515.015.8-0.7713.614.0-0.38
Perry Jones5151-0.12-0.380.25-0.213-222515.415.5-0.1814.213.40.80
Kendrick Perkins3434-0.13-0.370.25-0.04-3-161316.015.20.8114.013.70.29
Nick Collison3638-0.22-0.280.060.40-212-2313.516.6-3.1113.414.1-0.71
Steven Adams4748-0.29-0.21-0.080.12-14-5-914.915.9-1.0113.614.0-0.36
Thabo Sefolosha4446-0.32-0.18-0.150.23-190-1915.915.10.8113.913.70.16
Serge Ibaka6362-0.36-0.14-0.230.02-13-6-716.214.12.1013.414.5-1.04
Reggie Jackson4951-0.41-0.09-0.320.18-201-2115.915.00.8813.314.4-1.06
Kevin Durant5656-0.45-0.05-0.400.14-201-2115.515.40.1413.614.1-0.59

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ricky Rubio62620.450.050.39-0.4029-103912.516.1-3.5915.315.7-0.45
Kevin Love63630.420.080.34-0.3426-73312.316.5-4.2315.116.0-0.83
Nikola Pekovic58590.380.120.26-0.2120-12113.514.2-0.7015.215.8-0.59
Kevin Martin50510.360.140.21-0.111631313.014.7-1.6715.415.4-0.02
Derrick Williams56560.280.220.060.11613-714.313.21.0614.816.3-1.44
Corey Brewer43420.220.28-0.06-0.16136713.214.3-1.0616.314.81.44
Jose Juan Barea40390.120.38-0.25-0.17109114.313.50.8716.115.01.15
Dante Cunningham31300.100.40-0.30-0.341541115.113.21.8314.315.9-1.64
Alexey Shved35340.070.43-0.360.22-524-2915.912.73.1714.516.0-1.48
Gorgui Dieng26250.060.44-0.380.36-1029-3916.512.93.6016.415.11.24
Ronny Turiaf870.040.46-0.420.01118-1710.514.1-3.6017.115.31.84
Shabazz Muhammad11100.000.50-0.500.35-1231-4316.713.43.2817.115.21.85
Robbie Hummel12120.000.50-0.500.41-1433-4716.513.43.0618.115.13.01


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 81, NYK 1080.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.59,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%
NOP 107, DEN 1370.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%
MIL 56, BOS 870.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.72,0.72,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%