inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Pelicans 107 Excitement2.7 [1213] MVPKenneth Faried (DEN): +15.7%
Denver Nuggets 137 Comeback1.2 [898] LVPAustin Rivers (NOP): -4.3%


New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jeff Withey0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.100.010.04587%0.071-0.015100%0.01
Anthony Morrow0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.070.000.011259%0.071-0.025100%0.02
Darius Miller0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.050.000.01564%0.0400.00475%-0.00
Anthony Davis0.020,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.040.000.02475%0.0200.0000%0.00
Tyreke Evans-0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.09-0.000.091763%0.053-0.069100%0.03
Greg Stiemsma-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.00945%-0.011-0.01250%-0.01
Alexis Ajinca-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.050.000.07564%-0.021-0.01475%-0.01
Brian Roberts-0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.00-0.02837%-0.012-0.0300%0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu-0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.07-0.00-0.03331%-0.0410.001050%-0.03
Luke Babbitt-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.07-0.00-0.0320%-0.022-0.0200%0.00
Austin Rivers-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.09-0.00-0.05443%-0.014-0.03667%-0.01

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kenneth Faried0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.240.000.081974%0.1610.00875%-0.00
Aaron Brooks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.230.000.1012100%0.141-0.0000%0.00
Darrell Arthur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.000.01580%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Timofey Mozgov0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.010.021158%0.051-0.014100%0.01
Quincy Miller0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.00-0.02643%0.0200.0020%-0.01
Ty Lawson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.000.00758%0.053-0.041080%-0.00
Jan Vesely0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.080.000.07683%0.0200.0000%0.00
Randy Foye0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.00-0.01950%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Evan Fournier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.011344%0.0010.0010%-0.00
Anthony Randolph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01462%0.0020.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game32.32.328.615.628.01.827.3136.0
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +38.9%
NOP -0.7%
DEN +2.1%
DEN +10.4%
NOP -0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOPDENNBANOPDENNBA
this game15.212.615.1102.9133.0105.2
season15.514.0105.6104.5
opponent14.915.3106.4108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOP15.515.213.816.615.2
DEN11.713.012.812.912.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luke Babbitt1818-0.04-0.460.430.14-6-241814.715.3-0.6113.412.41.04
Al-Farouq Aminu4341-0.16-0.340.180.05-7-231615.515.00.5214.111.52.60
Anthony Davis2223-0.17-0.330.160.09-9-211216.215.01.2112.512.6-0.08
Austin Rivers6060-0.19-0.310.110.31-17-13-415.415.00.4012.412.9-0.52
Greg Stiemsma4443-0.21-0.290.080.02-8-221414.815.6-0.7913.112.20.92
Jeff Withey6664-0.21-0.280.070.17-13-17415.614.70.9012.412.9-0.59
Darius Miller4646-0.23-0.270.040.33-19-11-814.515.8-1.3512.312.8-0.42
Anthony Morrow6263-0.23-0.270.040.27-17-13-415.514.90.5512.313.1-0.81
Brian Roberts4443-0.31-0.19-0.120.07-13-17414.815.5-0.6813.012.20.80
Alexis Ajinca4343-0.36-0.14-0.220.31-23-7-1615.315.20.1211.413.4-2.00
Tyreke Evans7271-0.38-0.12-0.250.15-18-12-615.215.3-0.0712.413.0-0.61

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ty Lawson74750.52-0.020.54-0.332912812.512.8-0.2914.417.3-2.88
Randy Foye65670.370.130.24-0.191911812.313.0-0.7015.315.00.32
Timofey Mozgov58590.360.140.23-0.051416-212.612.60.0514.815.8-1.08
Darrell Arthur36370.280.220.06-0.251812612.112.8-0.7214.615.6-1.03
Kenneth Faried56580.250.250.01-0.251713412.213.0-0.7715.914.31.62
Aaron Brooks65640.250.25-0.01-0.281812612.612.50.0915.315.10.25
Quincy Miller48480.220.28-0.050.02723-1613.411.91.5614.915.5-0.58
Jan Vesely44440.130.37-0.23-0.331614212.512.6-0.1016.214.51.69
Evan Fournier51510.110.39-0.28-0.271317-412.412.8-0.3815.415.10.28
Anthony Randolph18170.000.50-0.500.03-131-3214.212.21.9216.515.01.55


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
OKC 81, MIN 1000.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%
POR 102, NOP 1190.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.5%
MIN 108, GSW 1210.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.79,0.76,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%