NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	108		Excitement	2.6 [1240]		MVP	Jason Richardson (GSW): +18.4%
Golden State Warriors	121		Comeback	1.3 [1303]		LVP	Mark Blount (MIN): -5.1%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike James	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	10	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bracey Wright	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Rashad McCants	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Randy Foye	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	15	41%	-0.02	3	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.13	0.00	0.16	29	62%	0.03	4	-0.06	10	90%	0.01
Trenton Hassell	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.00	0.05	7	67%	0.02	4	-0.06	7	86%	0.01
Justin Reed	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	8	45%	0.01	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Mark Blount	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	6	46%	0.01	4	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.25	0.01	0.07	17	78%	0.20	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.00	0.01	4	137%	0.12	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	7	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00
Kelenna Azubuike	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	9	50%	0.02	2	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	13	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.15	0.00	-0.15	5	20%	0.00	5	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	33%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	7	14%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	0.00	0.07	13	62%	0.01	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	9	44%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.6	32.1	15.8	22.6	1.6	31.4	132.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +34.1%

GSW +0.4%

MIN -1.6%

GSW +18.3%

MIN -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	GSW	NBA	MIN	GSW	NBA
this game	14.4	12.9	15.4	102.9	114.2	104.5
season	15.4	13.5		101.9	105.7
opponent	15.2	15.6		105.7	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.3	13.9	17.5	11.5	14.4
GSW	11.9	12.7	13.1	13.7	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bracey Wright	32	32	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.71	24	-37	61	11.7	15.6	-3.90	13.5	12.6	0.85
Randy Foye	51	52	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.33	7	-20	27	13.6	15.2	-1.63	13.3	12.5	0.81
Rashad McCants	31	30	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.25	-13	0	-13	14.8	14.3	0.58	12.9	12.9	-0.01
Mark Blount	57	58	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-12	11	13.6	15.4	-1.71	13.4	12.2	1.18
Justin Reed	56	57	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.16	-11	-2	-9	14.1	14.8	-0.73	12.2	13.7	-1.52
Mark Madsen	20	19	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.15	-15	2	-17	15.8	14.1	1.69	13.0	12.9	0.15
Trenton Hassell	49	50	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.45	-28	15	-43	15.8	13.2	2.64	12.5	13.2	-0.68
Mike James	54	55	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.22	-21	8	-29	15.2	13.6	1.63	12.5	13.3	-0.84
Craig Smith	77	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.44	1	-14	15	14.9	13.1	1.75	13.0	12.6	0.32
Ricky Davis	98	99	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.24	-8	-5	-3	14.5	13.7	0.77	12.9	12.9	0.02

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Richardson	80	80	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.70	41	-28	69	12.6	13.6	-0.93	15.4	11.2	4.29
Stephen Jackson	55	54	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.47	32	-19	51	12.1	13.7	-1.63	15.8	12.9	2.89
Monta Ellis	68	67	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.57	34	-21	55	12.5	13.5	-0.93	15.7	12.1	3.64
Al Harrington	54	55	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.76	40	-27	67	12.4	13.4	-0.96	16.3	12.3	4.03
Baron Davis	52	52	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.72	38	-25	63	12.5	13.3	-0.82	16.2	12.6	3.61
Mickael Pietrus	26	25	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.10	1	12	-11	13.3	12.7	0.52	14.4	14.4	0.01
Andris Biedrins	34	33	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.26	-6	19	-25	13.8	12.5	1.31	13.3	14.9	-1.64
Kelenna Azubuike	35	35	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.70	-22	35	-57	13.5	12.6	0.87	11.9	15.7	-3.81
Matt Barnes	58	58	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.61	-20	33	-53	13.5	12.1	1.34	12.8	16.4	-3.62
Sarunas Jasikevicius	29	28	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.79	-27	40	-67	13.7	12.6	1.17	11.5	15.5	-3.99
Josh Powell	21	21	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.73	-25	38	-63	13.6	12.7	0.92	10.8	15.3	-4.52
Adonal Foyle	18	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.62	-21	34	-55	12.6	12.9	-0.32	10.4	15.2	-4.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.79,0.76,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 107, DEN 137	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
TOR 83, BKN 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	97.4%
ORL 78, SAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%