inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 78 Excitement2.2 [1218] MVPTim Duncan (SAS): +18.0%
San Antonio Spurs 107 Comeback1.0 [1060] LVPRony Seikaly (ORL): -8.0%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dan Schayes0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.01657%0.0200.002100%-0.00
Mark Price0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.050.000.03683%0.032-0.0200%0.00
Carl Thomas0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02367%0.0000.0000%0.00
Johnny Taylor0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.0640%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jason Lawson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02550%0.0010.002100%0.00
Darrell Armstrong-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.070.00-0.05829%-0.021-0.001100%0.00
Gerald Wilkins-0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.060.00-0.04617%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Brian Evans-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01643%-0.011-0.012100%0.00
Derek Harper-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.02530%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Horace Grant-0.060,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.000.011644%-0.052-0.0100%0.00
Bo Outlaw-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.140.00-0.07453%0.016-0.08757%0.01
Rony Seikaly-0.080,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.10-0.00-0.021248%-0.005-0.0810%-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Duncan0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.210.000.032074%0.1800.00367%0.00
David Robinson0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.110.000.021369%0.1000.0000%0.00
Vinny Del Negro0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.070.000.00875%0.081-0.0100%0.00
Monty Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.00-0.04657%0.0220.002100%0.00
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01343%0.0000.001100%0.00
Carl Herrera0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chuck Person0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.05425%0.0010.0000%0.00
Jaren Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.020.000.02750%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Will Perdue0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02283%0.013-0.02250%-0.01
Cory Alexander0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.020.000.033100%0.002-0.0200%0.00
Avery Johnson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.000.01654%-0.0210.001100%0.00
Sean Elliott0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.100.00-0.04542%-0.014-0.05250%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.12.521.315.823.60.826.2116.4
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +41.7%
ORL -2.7%
ORL -0.2%
SAS +11.2%
ORL -0.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLSASNBAORLSASNBA
this game16.914.815.687.6115.1102.5
season16.715.9100.3100.9
opponent15.915.697.2101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL18.617.615.316.316.9
SAS12.915.915.415.014.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Carl Thomas13140.00-0.500.50-0.031-303115.517.2-1.6213.515.0-1.50
Johnny Taylor15160.00-0.500.500.06-2-272516.317.0-0.7113.215.1-1.84
Jason Lawson1718-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-272517.016.90.1013.315.1-1.79
Dan Schayes2525-0.09-0.410.320.15-8-211317.716.61.1113.815.1-1.28
Darrell Armstrong5052-0.13-0.370.240.04-6-231716.717.2-0.5114.814.70.16
Brian Evans4345-0.15-0.350.200.06-7-221517.416.50.8715.614.01.51
Derek Harper3940-0.19-0.310.120.02-7-221516.817.0-0.1815.314.31.01
Gerald Wilkins3739-0.31-0.19-0.120.36-23-6-1717.516.51.0114.614.9-0.23
Mark Price3941-0.37-0.13-0.240.31-23-6-1717.216.70.5114.714.8-0.16
Horace Grant6061-0.38-0.12-0.260.29-23-6-1716.817.1-0.3215.014.30.75
Bo Outlaw5862-0.42-0.08-0.330.29-24-5-1916.418.0-1.6115.014.30.77
Rony Seikaly4952-0.46-0.04-0.430.15-21-8-1317.116.70.3114.914.60.29

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Duncan69660.51-0.010.52-0.342902914.714.9-0.1916.916.90.07
Avery Johnson62600.480.020.47-0.312722514.315.8-1.5517.116.40.70
Vinny Del Negro36330.440.060.38-0.212271513.115.8-2.7618.815.82.92
Sean Elliott52510.430.070.37-0.272451915.014.50.5117.715.81.88
David Robinson46450.270.230.03-0.201613315.314.21.0917.216.60.56
Will Perdue35330.230.27-0.03-0.231613314.415.0-0.6517.216.70.51
Monty Williams41380.070.43-0.37-0.08524-1914.515.0-0.5115.817.7-1.88
Jaren Jackson45450.060.44-0.38-0.231019-916.413.33.1116.117.8-1.68
Cory Alexander31290.020.48-0.47-0.04227-2515.814.31.5516.417.1-0.70
Chuck Person18170.000.50-0.50-0.06227-2513.315.1-1.7917.016.90.10
Carl Herrera12110.000.50-0.500.09-332-3513.814.9-1.0814.817.2-2.40
Malik Rose1817-0.010.51-0.520.14-534-3915.814.51.2415.417.3-1.87


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 83, BKN 970.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,197.7%
MEM 87, SAC 1040.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.5%
POR 89, SAS 1240.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.77,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.5%