NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	83		Excitement	2.6 [1234]		MVP	DeMar DeRozan (TOR): +7.9%
Brooklyn Nets	97		Comeback	1.0 [1070]		LVP	Kyle Lowry (TOR): -10.0%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.12	0.01	0.05	18	60%	0.09	1	-0.01	11	91%	0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Charles Hayes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	86%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Steve Novak	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	9	40%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0.03	5	75%	0.00	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Greivis Vasquez	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	10	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.00	9	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.15	-0.00	-0.05	16	32%	-0.05	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.00	0.04	16	64%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	7	72%	0.06	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	9	60%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.03	12	52%	0.05	2	-0.02	9	78%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.03	4	75%	0.04	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	10	41%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mason Plumlee	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	8	50%	0.03	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	3.0	31.8	0.3	28.2	3.5	31.6	125.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +35.3%

BKN +0.9%

BKN +6.1%

BKN +7.0%

BKN +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	BKN	NBA	TOR	BKN	NBA
this game	15.1	15.9	15.1	89.2	104.3	105.2
season	15.9	15.7		107.2	105.1
opponent	15.5	15.1		106.7	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	18.1	15.7	12.8	13.8	15.1
BKN	12.6	16.3	16.7	18.1	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Novak	22	22	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-24	34	13.3	15.6	-2.35	17.6	15.4	2.27
Charles Hayes	8	7	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-13	12	16.9	14.9	1.98	10.4	16.3	-5.92
Tyler Hansbrough	25	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.22	4	-18	22	14.4	15.3	-0.91	17.3	15.4	1.94
John Salmons	27	26	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.15	0	-14	14	14.4	15.3	-0.98	15.5	16.1	-0.61
Greivis Vasquez	47	47	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.09	-3	-11	8	14.2	16.0	-1.77	16.5	15.3	1.27
Patrick Patterson	49	49	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.06	-6	-8	2	14.2	16.0	-1.86	16.5	15.2	1.24
Jonas Valanciunas	50	52	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	-1	-12	15.4	14.7	0.73	16.0	15.7	0.31
Terrence Ross	45	45	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.10	-14	0	-14	15.5	14.7	0.82	15.6	16.2	-0.67
Amir Johnson	42	40	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.23	-19	5	-24	16.3	14.0	2.31	14.1	17.3	-3.21
DeMar DeRozan	77	78	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.22	-4	-10	6	15.1	15.1	-0.07	16.3	13.7	2.67
Kyle Lowry	73	74	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.18	-24	10	-34	15.8	12.2	3.59	15.4	17.7	-2.24

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	72	72	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.22	25	-11	36	16.0	15.4	0.61	15.9	12.2	3.65
Joe Johnson	77	75	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.19	23	-9	32	15.7	16.8	-1.10	15.6	12.9	2.63
Paul Pierce	67	67	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.17	21	-7	28	15.3	17.6	-2.32	15.6	13.8	1.80
Alan Anderson	59	60	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.06	12	2	10	15.6	16.4	-0.80	16.1	13.2	2.82
Andray Blatche	42	40	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.06	8	6	2	15.3	16.4	-1.17	14.4	15.6	-1.21
Kevin Garnett	49	51	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.00	7	7	0	16.8	15.0	1.80	15.8	14.2	1.59
Andrei Kirilenko	27	28	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.10	-1	15	-16	17.1	15.4	1.65	12.8	16.0	-3.21
Mirza Teletovic	26	26	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.26	-7	21	-28	17.6	15.3	2.32	13.8	15.6	-1.80
Marcus Thornton	23	23	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.21	-6	20	-26	15.9	15.9	0.01	13.5	15.6	-2.05
Mason Plumlee	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	15	-16	8.5	16.1	-7.57	10.5	15.2	-4.66
Shaun Livingston	21	21	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.31	-11	25	-36	15.4	16.0	-0.61	12.2	15.9	-3.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 78, SAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
MIN 108, GSW 121	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.79,0.76,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
NOP 107, DEN 137	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%