NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	87		Excitement	3.0 [1146]		MVP	Vlade Divac (SAC): +6.9%
Sacramento Kings	104		Comeback	1.0 [1253]		LVP	Stromile Swift (MEM): -13.0%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Will Solomon	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	9	68%	0.02	1	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Grant Long	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	83%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	37%	0.01	2	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Antonis Fotsis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	13	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ike Austin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	13	31%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.14	0.00	-0.07	16	31%	-0.04	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Shane Battier	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	11	35%	-0.05	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Stromile Swift	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.18	0.00	-0.05	15	26%	-0.09	2	-0.04	5	60%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vlade Divac	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.01	9	75%	0.09	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	16	59%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	11	43%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jabari Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mateen Cleaves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	9	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	15	44%	0.01	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	5	50%	0.01	5	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Chris Webber	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.12	0.00	-0.05	19	48%	-0.02	5	-0.05	8	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.7	25.3	15.4	24.6	2.4	26.6	122.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +34.5%

SAC +6.3%

SAC +10.9%

MEM -2.0%

SAC +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	SAC	NBA	MEM	SAC	NBA
this game	14.4	13.5	15.6	84.5	100.0	102.3
season	15.7	14.2		96.0	106.6
opponent	15.5	15.2		99.6	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.0	15.4	13.4	13.8	14.4
SAC	11.6	15.9	12.8	13.8	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonis Fotsis	13	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-22	27	12.4	14.7	-2.28	12.9	13.5	-0.60
Will Solomon	31	34	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.25	8	-25	33	13.1	14.9	-1.79	13.9	13.2	0.68
Brevin Knight	43	44	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.17	-11	-6	-5	14.6	14.2	0.35	13.7	13.3	0.44
Tony Massenburg	22	21	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.04	-7	-10	3	15.8	14.0	1.83	13.4	13.5	-0.03
Stromile Swift	63	65	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.10	-3	-14	11	13.9	15.1	-1.14	13.6	13.3	0.31
Ike Austin	41	42	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.03	-10	-7	-3	14.6	14.2	0.42	13.3	13.6	-0.28
Rodney Buford	52	52	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-13	9	14.5	14.2	0.28	14.1	12.8	1.25
Shane Battier	66	66	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.15	-16	-1	-15	14.2	14.6	-0.42	13.6	13.2	0.46
Pau Gasol	69	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	-6	-5	14.4	14.2	0.21	13.1	14.2	-1.17
Jason Williams	63	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.19	-19	2	-21	14.7	13.8	0.95	13.3	13.6	-0.28
Grant Long	52	51	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.10	-17	0	-17	14.7	14.1	0.63	12.9	14.0	-1.12

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hedo Turkoglu	79	80	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.17	21	-4	25	12.9	15.3	-2.41	14.5	13.8	0.77
Mike Bibby	65	64	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.10	18	-1	19	13.4	13.6	-0.22	14.5	14.2	0.32
Chris Webber	74	73	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.26	23	-6	29	13.0	14.6	-1.61	14.8	13.4	1.33
Vlade Divac	62	62	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.03	12	5	7	13.8	12.9	0.96	14.6	14.1	0.47
Doug Christie	61	63	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.27	22	-5	27	13.5	13.3	0.22	14.6	14.1	0.46
Gerald Wallace	55	52	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.29	-4	21	-25	14.0	12.8	1.20	14.3	14.5	-0.22
Scot Pollard	52	51	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	13	-9	13.2	13.7	-0.60	14.3	14.4	-0.13
Bobby Jackson	44	43	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.16	9	8	1	14.3	12.8	1.54	14.1	14.5	-0.41
Jabari Smith	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	24	-31	13.6	13.4	0.19	12.2	14.6	-2.31
Brent Price	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	24	-31	13.6	13.4	0.19	12.2	14.6	-2.31
Mateen Cleaves	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	23	-29	13.3	13.5	-0.13	12.6	14.6	-1.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 78, SAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
SEA 84, CHI 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
VAN 88, SAC 111	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%